MLB Picks: Series That Matter This Week

Swinging Johnson

Tuesday, May 26, 2015 10:14 PM GMT

Tuesday, May. 26, 2015 10:14 PM GMT

SBR takes a look at the most compelling series every week in Major League Baseball. How will these critical series impact the standings and can we find an opportunity to cash in our MLB picks?

Royals (28-15) vs. Yankees (22-12) - May 25th-27th
The Kansas City Royals are proving that last year was no fluke when they claimed the American League Pennant and came within a Game 7 of winning the World Series. Perennial cellar dwellers, Kansas City is now MLB royalty as they own the best record in the bigs and are traveling to the Big Apple for a three-game set with the enigmatic New York Yankees.

The Bombers broke out of the gate with a 21-12 record but since that 11-5 victory over the Rays on May 11th hard times have hit New York and they are now mired in their worst losing streak in 20 years dropping 10 of their last 11 games while hitting a meager .214 exacerbated by a 6.84 ERA over their last six contests, all losses. Perhaps some of their May meltdown has to do with Jacoby Ellsbury being sidelined with a knee injury prompting Brett Gardner to assume his role at the leadoff spot. But Gardner has struggled at the top of the order and the Yankees woes are now further compounded by catcher Brian McCann's exit from Sunday's 5-2 loss to Texas in which a cramped foot forced his departure.

Betting Trends To Consider

Games Over the Last 3 Seasons
- NY YANKEES are 9-8 (+0.8 Units) against KANSAS CITY

- 10 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL (Under is +1.9 Units)

Games This Season
- KANSAS CITY is 2-1 (+0.8 Units) against NY YANKEES this season

- 2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under is +0.8 Units)

All Games at NY YANKEES Over the Last 3 Seasons
- KANSAS CITY is 4-3 (+1.8 Units) against NY YANKEES

 

Boston Red Sox (21-23) vs. Twins (25-18) - May 25th-27th
The Boston Red Sox plunged into free agency with reckless abandon and came out with offensive plums like Hanley Ramirez and Pablo Sandoval. The addition of top prospect Mookie Betts and a healthy Dustin Pedroia signaled what was supposed to be a modern day Murderer's Row. However the fireworks that were supposed to be routinely on display have not manifested and the Boys from Boston may actually consider themselves lucky that they are only 2 ½ games out of first place with an offense that hasn't heated and starting pitching that has been abysmal for most of the season.

These are not your father's Minnesota Twins as they have taken a cue from another downtrodden franchise in the Kansas City Royals and decided that they too can make some noise as an American League power. Currently trailing only the aforementioned Royals by three games the Twins are actually ranked in the bottom third of all major pitching categories yet offensively they rank 8th in runs scored with 197 on the season. Those pitching statistics may be an ominous foreshadowing of things to come.

Betting Trends To Consider
Red Sox pitching has begun to right itself since the addition of new pitching coach Carl Willis as nine of their last 11 games have gone under the MLB odds posted total. Consider for a moment that aside from a 12-5 blowout loss to the Angels, the Red Sox have allowed only 2.2 runs per game over their last 10.

Games over the Last 3 Seasons
- BOSTON is 8-5 (+0.4 Units) against MINNESOTA

- 8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL (Under is +2.3 Units)

Games This Season
- There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

All Games at MINNESOTA Over the Last 3 Seasons
- BOSTON is 4-2 (+1.4 Units) against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons

- 3 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (UNDER is -0.4 Units)

 

Nationals (26-18) vs. Cubs (24-19) - May 25th-27th
The Washington Nationals had issues at the beginning of the season but no one truly believed that their 7-13 start was demonstrative of the season ahead. All they have done since that point is go 19-5 resulting in their top spot in the NL East. Washington has won seven of their last eight as they pack up and head into the Windy City to take on the upstart Chicago Cubs.

In a starting rotation that is among the very best in the majors, Tanner Roark takes the bump in the opener on Monday replacing Doug Fister who is sidelined with a flexor muscle pull in his forearm. To put into perspective just how lush and deep this rotation is consider that Roark won 15 games and boasted a 2.85 ERA to complement a 1.09 WHIP in 31 starts last season. Despite that, Roark still could not crack the starting rotation until Fister's injury.

Though the Nationals' pitching is their ace in the hole it would be remiss not to mention the white hot hitting of 22-year-old Bryce Harper. Harper has been unconscious this month slamming 11 round-trippers, 26 RBI's and batting a torrid .491 since May 6th.

The Cubs return home to Wrigley after a six-game road swing winning two of three in San Diego but then dropping two of three in the desert against the D-Backs. The Cubbies have yet to face the Beast of the East yet this season but have gone 3-5 when hosting the Nats in Chi-Town over the past three seasons while the MLB odds total in those games has gone high in six of those eight contests reaping a +4.1 unit return for those who have blindly bet the over with their MLB picks at sportsbooks like BetOnline.

Betting Trends To Consider
- The Nats have won four of the last five games played between these two clubs regardless of venue

- Washington is 4-1 SU in its last five games on the road

- The total has gone OVER in six of Washington's last seven road games

- The total has gone OVER in five of the Cubs' last six games when playing at home against Washington

- The total has gone UNDER in seven of the Cubs' last 10 home games

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