MLB Picks: Season Win Total Value Picks

Willie Bee

Wednesday, March 6, 2013 8:17 PM UTC

Wednesday, Mar. 6, 2013 8:17 PM UTC

Bettors now have win totals to consider among MLB futures odds, and we have a quick look at the list with picks for a few of the early offerings.

The early bird gets the worm, or so the adage goes. Season win totals on the MLB futures odds board started appearing nearly three weeks ago at Las Vegas and offshore betting establishments, and some teams differed by as many as four victories on those opening numbers from one locale to the next.

Find out which sportsbooks are offering the best MLB Futures odds for your picks this year?

Gamblers who were quick to exploit some of the disparities were able to get in on some juicy middle opportunities before the win totals started to tighten up and settle in where they are currently. All we can say to those lucky few right now is congratulations on snagging some of the fat worms available in the early going.

The good news is there are still plenty of worms to go around; indeed, anyone with a crystal ball can come up with 30 winning wagers assuming they have perfect vision of the future.

The 2013 slate is far different than a season ago thanks to the realignment that sent the Houston Astros from the National League to the American League. One of my biggest complaints in recent years has been a very imbalanced -- dare I say unfair? -- schedule across the board, and while it's still not perfect, the oddity of having interleague games each day has helped to improve the overall evenhandedness of the slate.Each and every bettor has his or her criteria for determining how many victories a specific team will tally, something we mentioned when discussing which MLB teams might be overvalued or undervalued for the 2013 season. Everyone certainly looks at a lineup's offensive potential and how the mound corps shakes out. But equally important is studying the schedules.

AL West & NL East Get 'Easy Schedule' Nods

Each team has 20 interleague games on their schedule, 16 of those against one entire division from the other league, and the consensus is the AL West and NL East got the easier draws for 2013. The AL West goes against the NL Central while the NL East takes on the AL Central, and that is a big consideration for my leans on several clubs in those groups. 

Two teams I like to skip past the number are Oakland and Philadelphia, each listed at 84 right now. The Athletics will have a home-&-home with the defending World Series champs from San Francisco, but also get 19 games against the Astros. The Phillies have a relatively easy interleague schedule that includes four vs. the Boston Red Sox, and their toughest test will be a 9-game roadie just after the All-Star break (at the Mets, Cardinals and Tigers). 

Astros, Marlins & Twins At Bottom Of Chart

Three of the more interesting totals to consider for your MLB picks might be the trio expected to pile up the fewest wins this campaign. Houston (59½) is down at the very bottom of the chart, and are coming off 56 and 55 win seasons. As low as this total already is, it wouldn't surprise me to see this drop before the Astros take the field for real on March 31.

The Miami Marlins (63½) are just above Houston, and my pick is OVER for the Fish. Minnesota (67½) ranks 14th among American League squads and the Twins look good for an UNDER play. 

Sitting at the very top of the list, the Detroit Tigers (92½) will need to make a 5-win improvement from last season to cash OVER tickets. Detroit has an early 9-game road trip against AL West foes, plus a home-&-home with the Washington Nationals (91½) who are tied with the Los Angeles Dodgers for the highest National League win total.

Don't forget to check back later this weekend when I take a stab at the New York Yankees' win total in more detail. currently sitting on 88, and you can also read Swinging Johnson's pick for the Boston Red Sox (84) that has already been posted. 

NOTE: Win totals below were valid at The Greek as of March 03, 2013.



Arizona Diamondbacks


Atlanta Braves


Baltimore Orioles


Boston Red Sox


Chicago Cubs


Chicago White Sox


Cincinnati Reds


Cleveland Indians


Colorado Rockies


Detroit Tigers


Houston Astros


Kansas City Royals


Los Angeles Angels


Los Angeles Dodgers


Miami Marlins


Milwaukee Brewers


Minnesota Twins


New York Mets


New York Yankees


Oakland Athletics


Philadelphia Phillies


Pittsburgh Pirates


San Diego Padres


San Francisco Giants


Seattle Mariners


St. Louis Cardinals


Tampa Bay Rays


Texas Rangers


Toronto Blue Jays


Washington Nationals


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