MLB Picks: Saturday Valuable Underdog Picks

Ross Benjamin

Saturday, August 3, 2013 1:10 PM UTC

Saturday, Aug. 3, 2013 1:10 PM UTC

There are definitely some live dogs for our Saturday Baseball Betting action. Let's have a look!

Texas +115 @ Oakland 4:05 ET

Game # 911-912

You can make a case that the Rangers are loaded with underdog value for our MLB picks on Saturday. This is a Texas team with a winning road record and will be facing a less than dominating starting pitcher. The Rangers will be in an urgent mode during this key series since they trail the first place A’s by 3.5 games in the AL West. Entering this weekend Texas was winners of 4 in a row. Texas is a very good 18-7 this season versus opponents with a 0.5 or more run per game differential. 

Newly acquired Matt Garza hasn’t disappointed in his first 2 starts versus the Rangers. As a matter of fact going back to when he was with the Cubs, Garza is an extremely profitable 7-1 in his last 8 team-starts with an excellent 1.55 ERA. Garza did face Oakland 1 time this season when he was a member of the Cubs. In that one start Garza went 8.0 innings allowing just 1 earned run on 4 hits. In 5 day game starts Garza has been stellar with a 2.18 ERA and 1.03 WHIP.

The Oakland hurler Jarrod Parker comes off a shaky outing versus the Angels in his previous start. Parker allowed 6 earned runs while walking 7 in just 5 innings. Parker has posted a lofty 4.81 ERA in 11 starts at home this season. The Oakland right-hander is a dismal 1-5 over his last 6 team starts. 

With all factors considered, plus the importance of each game in this series for the Rangers, the visiting underdog should be given very serious consideration in this spot.


Arizona +140 at Boston 7:10 ET

Game # 927-928

This MLB odds underdog has a solid foundation just from a starting pitcher aspect alone. The Arizona southpaw hurler Pat Corbin is an outstanding 18-3 in his team starts this season with a terrific 2.24 ERA and 0.99 WHIP. Corbin is also a perfect 9-0 in his team starts this season versus opponents with a winning record. In his last 4 starts overall the Arizona lefty has an sparkling 1.26 ERA, a 0.96 WHIP, and an almost 6:1 strikeout to walk ratio.

Boston fans will get their first look in a Red Sox uniform at newly acquired veteran hJake Peavy. Peavy was having a decent year for the White Sox at the time of the trade. However by the standards that Peavy has shown throughout his career the right-hander has shown signs of fading into mediocrity. Peavy hasn’t had a start since July 25th. In his last 4 starts with the White Sox he posted a large 8.38 ERA while allowing a whopping 6 home runs in just 19 1/3 innings.

The Diamondbacks have seemed to get a lot of mileage out of a roster that’s less than impressive. Any underdog at this generous a price, that possesses a winning record this late in the year, and sends a top 10 starting pitcher in baseball to the mound demands special consideration.

Stay on top of all of todays key lines with our Saturday Betting Odds Report!


Miami +105 vs. Cleveland 7:10 ET

Game # 923-924

After a horrific 13-41 start to the season the young and unheralded Marlins have really turned it around. Many of you out there would be surprised to know that Miami is actually a solid 29-24 since May 31st with the majority of those games coming in an underdog role. Granted they will be facing a red-hot Cleveland team which is very difficult to overlook when evaluating this contest. However, if this identical situation was to have taken place 2 weeks ago, it would be safe to say the Marlins would be the favorite.

The Marlins young starter Jacob Turner is 4-1 in his home team starts in 2013 with a very good 2.23 ERA and 0.99 WHIP. That’s not a fluke when you consider in 11 overall starts this seasons the Marlins hurler has a solid 2.65 ERA and 1.19 WHIP. Turner is 7-1 in his team starts the last 2 seasons as a home underdog of +100 or more.

The Cleveland starter Zach Mcallister has struggled over his last 5 starts in posting a lofty 5.06 ERA and 1.76 WHIP. The Indians right-hander is a beatable 2-4 in his road team starts in 2013 with a less than shining 1.73 WHIP. The Indians are an imposing 37-19 at home but a less than ordinary 23-29 on the road this season. My guess is the general public will side with the red-hot Indians versus the team with the 2nd worst record in baseball. My professional opinion is the underdog will present a serious challenge to their opponent today and presents a great choice for my Saturday free picks.





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