MLB Picks: Saturday Top Value Plays

Joe Catalano

Saturday, July 6, 2013 2:10 PM GMT

Today I have selected two games that seem to hold a lot of potential value for our MLB betting.

As we look across the board at Saturday’s slate of MLB games, there are two major opportunities to cash in on and its time to expose them with our MLB Picks of the Day.

Chicago White Sox (34-49) at Tampa Bay Rays (47-40)

There’s a good pitching matchup at “The Trop”, as strikeout machine Chris Sale (5-7, 2.79) takes on Matt Moore (11-3, 3.65). You take a look at their records and you see what run support can do for one pitcher and not the other.

Rough Waves

Aside from pitching on a White Sox team that’s near the bottom of most offensive statistical categories, Chris Sale has been average as of late.

Average for Sale is giving up 3 runs per game and striking out double digit batters. With a poor White Sox hitting squad, that isn’t enough as Sale has failed to record a win in his last 7 appearances.

Matt Moore on the other hand, has experienced great success. In his last 3 starts, he’s 3-0, allowing 4 earned runs in 19 1/3 innings.

Tampa Bay is coming off of a 8-3 victory over Chicago on Friday. In this game, both team racked up 24 hits combined, but Tampa Bay was the team that capitalized. Today’s game will be a bit more difficult for the Rays.

Can Chris Sale shut down the likes of Evan Longoria, James Loney, and Kelly Johnson on Saturday is the question?

James Loney

He may not be the biggest power hitter and people expected him to tail off, but James Loney has continued to hit like an all-star this season. He leads the Rays with a .320 BA and is currently on a 16 game hitting streak.

The odds makers know that Sale gets no run support as Tampa Bay is a -138 betting favorite. When you get Sale at MLB odds like this, you take it.

[gameodds]3/238158/?r-1=43-349-192/us[/gameodds]

Pick- Chicago +128 at Bet 365


Boston Red Sox (54-34) at Los Angeles Angels (41-45)

While the Boston Red Sox have had a dominant season, the Los Angeles Angels are fighting their way to the .500 mark. Tonight’s game poses a difficult task for the Angels as Ryan Dempster and a fierce Red Sox offense step to the field at Angels Stadium.

Dempster not Dumpster

I must admit, in the past I was one of the guilty parties that labeled Dempster as “Dumpster” due to his underachieving. As of late, Dempster has shut up all of the critics as he’s been the model of consistency.

Dempster has pitched a quality start in his last 7 starts. In these starts, he hasn’t given up more than 3 runs in any appearance while going a good 6 to 7 innings per ball game. Dempster faces a tough Angels lineup and although the Sox have the pitching advantage, the Angels offense is capable of embarrassing a team with their highly touted superstars.

Fishing For Wins

There isn’t one player that I’d rather have on my team for the present and the future than 21 year old phenom, Mike Trout.

Trout is having another outstanding season as a 5-tool ball player. On the season he has 13 HR, 55 RBI, .314 RBI, and 20 SB. Think about that; 55 RBI and mostly from the leadoff position!

For his career, Trout is 4 for 10 off of Dempster with 1 HR and 1 RBI.

He’s been moved from the leadoff spot to the number 2 slot to make room for J.B. Shuck. Shuck came up big in yesterday’s loss with a triple. The Angels have the offense, but they need to find a way to be more consistent.

Tonight, the Angels could have more problems as Jerome Williams starts for them. Williams is a serviceable starter, but doesn’t have overpowering stuff and that’s what’s needed to beat this Red Sox team with hot hitters such as Pedroia and David Ortiz.

I like the UNDER in this game. Both pitchers can definitely shut down an offense or at least hold them down to a point.

Pick- Angels/Red Sox UNDER 9 at Bet 365 for your sports picks.

[gameodds]3/238163/?r-1=43-349-192/us[/gameodds]

Good Luck, everyone!