MLB Picks: Saturday Betting Odds & Lines Report

Steven Suarez

Saturday, May 18, 2013 11:36 AM GMT

Before placing your final MLB picks, check in with us to see what our handicappers have to say about today's action.

Two of the games we covered have already started. Willie Bee picked the OVER 8.5 runs in the Toronto/New York game, while Ron Patrick was liking the underdog price on the Mets (+135) for their road game at Wrigley. 

Below you'll find the other matchups we are tracking closely. 

Tigers (Sanchez) vs. Rangers (Grimm) 

Joe Freda has been following this series, but was unlucky to be on the wrong side in game one yesterday. He liked Texas to win, but they fell short in a 2-1 loss, which has evened up the series at one game apiece.

Instead of picking a side for today's game, Joe is looking at a total play. Umpire Mike Muchlinski has seen 12 of his last 16 called games finish OVER the posted total, and Joe believes that trend will hold true again here.

There's always a risk in an OVER play when you've got Anibal Sanchez (4-2, 2.05 ERA) on the mound, but Justin Grimm (4.28 ERA, 1.49 WHIP) hasn't been nearly as effective. Plus, these two offenses can put up plenty of runs regardless of who's pitching, as we saw in game one of the series when Justin Verlander and Yu Darvish were on the hill.

[gameodds]3/226741/43-349/us[/gameodds]

Dodgers (Capuano) vs. Braves (Medlen)

The Braves brought the power in yesterday's 8-5 win. Paul Maholm got the win, Craig Kimbrel locked up his 12th save, and Justin Upton smashed a grand-slam.

It's going to be interesting to see how Saturday afternoon's game pans out. Neither Chris Capuano or Kris Medlen have shown much consistency, though Medlen's numbers (3.44 ERA) are far better at first glance.

Ron Patrick nailed the first game of the series by siding with Atlanta to cover. In game two, despite some more considerable chalk, he believes the Braves will get it done again – they opened at -175 but can now be locked in at -160. You may also want to consider a run-line play if you are highly confident in Medlen and company today.

[gameodds]3/226740/43-349/us[/gameodds]

Red Sox (Dempster) vs. Twins (Diamond)

Late last night and early this morning, the Red Sox were favored at -126, and that's the exact same number that can be found as of now. The Twins are listed at +116 and the total has been bet up to nine runs.

Soon we'll find out what kind of effect Ryan Dempster's latest outing had on his psyche. Dempster was beat up for seven hits and six earned runs at home against Toronto in what was by far his worst start of the young season. 

He'll be opposite Minnesota's Scott Diamond, who's 3-3 with a 4.08 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. Interestingly enough, Diamond's home splits are far worse than his away statistics – he's gone 0-3 with a 7.16 ERA at Target Field. When it comes down to selecting his favorite sports picks of the day, Willie Bee has opted to roll with Boston as the small road favorites.

Biggest ML Favorites

Pittsburgh Pirates (-250) vs. Houston Astros

Atlanta Braves (-165) vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

St. Louis Cardinals (-155) vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Oakland Athletics (-135) vs. Kansas City Royals

Los Angeles Angels (-130) vs. Chicago White Sox

 

You can find more of our top MLB picks at our baseball handicapping page, including Joe Catalano's picks of the day in which he has one ML play and one total play.

 

Morning Betting Odds Report


The biggest favorite by far is Pittsburgh, who will have A.J. Burnett pitching. The Pirates are quoted at -255 to win at home over the Astros for our MLB picks

[gameodds]3/226738/43-349/us[/gameodds]

Blue Jays (Morrow) vs. Yankees (Phelps)

Brandon Morrow returns and will pick up the starting nod at Yankee Stadium this afternoon. He'll be going up against New York's David Phelps, who's 1-2 with a 4.33 ERA on the season.

Yesterday the Yankees got the series off to a perfect start, thanks to a dazzling pitching performance from Hiroki Kuroda. He guided New York to a 5-0 win, and they'll be vying for another victory as -125 favorites today. Check out Willie Bee's play on this matchup later on today.

Tigers (Sanchez) vs. Rangers (Grimm)

How many of you expected a 2-1 final score, in favor of Detroit, in last night's game? Let's remember that the two starting pitchers were Rick Porcello and Nick Tepesch and that the closing total number was at 10.5. Pitching ended up ruling the day there. 

What can we expect to see today? Anibal Sanchez and Justin Grimm are the two starters, with the Tigers currently favored at -122 in the MLB odds. Joe Freda will cover this game for readers.

[gameodds]3/226741/43-349/us[/gameodds]

Dodgers (Capuano) vs. Braves (Medlen)

A Justin Upton grand-slam powered the Braves to a win in the series opener. What kind of follow-up at will we see from Kris Medlen and Atlanta tonight? At the moment the Braves are significant favorites at -175.

Medlen has had difficulty replicating his 2012 form, as he's 1-5 with a 3.44 ERA on the season. Chris Capuano, despite a shaky 6.60 ERA, may be high on confidence after posting his best start of the season his last time out.

[gameodds]3/226740/43-349/us[/gameodds]

Red Sox (Dempster) vs. Twins (Diamond)

It took 10 innings, but the Red Sox held on to win 3-2 in the opener last night against Minnesota. Clay Buchholz pitched seven strong innings, allowing four hits and two earned runs while striking out nine batters.

Boston will be hoping to get another quality start, this time out of Ryan Dempster, who's 2-4 with a 3.75 ERA on the year. Can the Red Sox get another W today while favored at -130? We're intrigued to see which side Willie Bee is fond of in this spot.

[gameodds]3/226810/43-349/us[/gameodds]

Mets (Hefner) vs. Cubs (Feldman)

Despite a solid performance out of Edwin Jackson, the Cubs fell to Matt Harvey and the Mets in game one of the series. Perhaps Chicago will be able to get back on track when they send Scott Feldman (3-3, 2.53 ERA) to the hill today.

Not very often do you find the Cubs favored at a number like -135, but that's testament to how good Feldman has been and how poorly the Mets have fared overall this season. If the Chicago bats can get after Jeremy Hefner, you'd have to think Ron Patrick will like their chances of winning today at Wrigley.

[gameodds]3/226733/43-349/us[/gameodds]

Mariners (Saunders) vs. Indians (McAllister)

A walkoff homer from Jason Kipnis propelled Cleveland to a 6-3 win over Seattle last night. The two starters for this afternoon's game will be Zach McAllister and Joe Saunders. The Mariners are listed at +150 and the early total was at 8.5.

You'll be able to find my pick for this game in just a few hours, so make sure to keep checking back here at SBRForum. When you take into account McAllister's prowess at home and Saunders' struggles on the road, it's going to be hard to go against Cleveland.

[gameodds]3/226802/43-349/us[/gameodds]