MLB Picks: Ryu & Dodgers vs. Brewers

Joe Freda

Wednesday, May 22, 2013 12:17 PM GMT

Wednesday afternoon’s MLB betting has the Milwaukee Brewers and Los Angeles Dodgers wrapping up their three-game set with a rubber match.

Brewers right-hander Wily Peralta (3-4, 5.94 ERA) is slated to oppose Dodgers right-hander Hyun-Jin Ryu (4-2, 3.42 ERA), with sports odds makers expecting a close contest.

Brewers hold on as dogs

Milwaukee evened the series with Tuesday’s 5-2 victory as a 120 home dog, while edging out the Dodgers in hits, 12-10. The fifth inning’s turning point saw the Brewers drive in four runs, including a pair from outfielder Carlos Gomez’ ground-rule double.

Brewers closer Jim Henderson logged his ninth save, tossing three strikeouts in the final frame. Los Angeles’ Skip Schumaker notched a 2-for-4 night at the plate, while Dodgers starter Zack Greinke helped his own cause with an RBI-single.

The contest’s combined seven runs dipped UNDER the ‘total’ of 8 ½, cashing for my followers.

Peralta shelled in St. Louis

Peralta picked up his third loss in four starts with Friday’s 7-6 defeat for Milwaukee to the St. Louis Cardinals, dropping the affair as a 153 road dog. The second-year hurler gave up all seven of St. Louis’ runs, allowing 11 hits over five innings.

Brewers slugger Aramis Ramirez cracked a pair of three-run homers, finishing 2-for-4 from the cleanup spot. Milwaukee’s Norichika Aoki nothhed a 3-for-4 outing, including his ninth double of the year.

Ryu goes five for no-decision

Ryu saw action on the same night’s card, coming away with a no-decision in Los Angeles’ 8-5 defeat to the Atlanta Braves. The 26-year-old allowed two runs in five frames, failing to cash as a 117 road dog.

Dodgers outfielder Scott Van Slyke poked a pair of solo-shot homers to center field, while mates Carl Crawford and Dee Gordon drove in one run each. Los Angeles’ Matt Kemp was held to a 0-for-5 evening, leaving three men on base.

[gameodds]3/227412/43-349-192/us[/gameodds]

Back the OVER on Wednesday

William Hill sports book opened Ryu as a 115 MLB Odds favorite, with a minus 1 ½ run line set at plus 145. The ‘total’ was first listed at nine, while adding a minus 120 lean to the UNDER.

I am backing the OVER in this finale, shifting gears from last night's battle and looking for octane to pick up compared to the series' first two matchups.

Ryu has had some inconsistency on the road, allowing a 1.43 WHIP and .328 OBP. The OVER has cashed with a 3-1-1 mark in the South Korea native’s five starts away from home.

Peralta was lit up in St. Louis and may not settle down much with the return to Miller Park. The 24-year-old has surrendered a home run in four of his five home outings, leading to the OVER collecting at 4-1.

The OVER is 9-4 in Milwaukee’s last 13 home dates when facing a left-handed starter, while umpire Manny Gonzalez has seen the OVER cash at 4-1 in his last five called games. For your baseball picks, look for the OVER to get the money again here, with some runs on the board early. 

MLB Pick: OVER 9 at William Hill

Check out Steven Suarez Betting Lines Report for today!~