MLB Picks Royals on the Money vs. White Sox for Tonight

Ross Benjamin

Friday, September 26, 2014 2:49 PM UTC

Friday, Sep. 26, 2014 2:49 PM UTC

Our MLB betting odds guru examines tonight’s game between the Royals/White Sox. This insightful baseball handicapping article is culminated with a moneyline MLB free pick.

Pennant Fever or a Party Pooper
The White Sox will host the Royals tonight at Comiskey Park in Chicago with the first pitch slated for 8:10 PM ET. According to SBR's live MLB odds, the Royals are a -150 money line road favorite, and the posted total is 8.0. The Royals have gone 10-5 versus the White Sox this season, and that includes 5-1 in the games played in Chicago. As a matter of fact, Kansas City has dominated this series over the last 3-seasons by winning 18 of the 25-games played.


Most Important Series Since the George Brett Era
It’s been a very long time since the Kansas City Royals were playing meaningful games in the final weekend of the regular season. It goes back to the days when George Brett was manning 3rd base, Whitey Herzog was the manager, and those were the glory days of the Royals franchise. Kansas City entered last night’s opening game of this series trailing the Tigers by a half game for the American League Central lead, and were tied with the Oakland A’s for the top wild card spot in the American League. Barring a monumental collapse, in addition to an unlikely scenario of other results, the Royals will be playing at least one postseason game in 2014.


Spoiler or Going Through the Motions
The real handicapping conundrum is whether the White Sox will go all out to play the role as spoiler in this series, or are they going to play out the string, and have their minds focused on the offseason? They’ve been respectable at home this season going 39-38. With the exception of Chris Sale, the White Sox pitching has left a lot to be desired, most especially the bullpen which has blown 35.2% of their save opportunities in 2014.


The Starting Pitchers
The Royals will turn to right-hander Jeremy Guthrie for this crucial start. The veteran right-hander has gone 18-13 against the money this season with a less than impressive 4.23 ERA. The bad news is, Guthrie can tend to be erratic at times. The good news is, he’s gone 8-3 against the money in his last 11-starts. Guthrie is 3-1 against the money versus the White Sox in 2014 with a 3.70 ERA.

Hector Noesi will make his final appearance of the season for the White Sox tonight. Noesi has posted a lofty 4.55 ERA in 15 home starts during the 2014 campaign. The White Sox hurler has seen 3 of his last 4-starts go over the total, and posted a shaky 4.85 ERA in those outings.


Final Analysis
When choosing your MLB picks keep in mind the Royals Jeremy Guthrie has gone a perfect 8-0 against the money during the last 2-seasons when he’s -100 to -150 on the moneyline. The Royals have gone a superb 39-19 the last 2-seasons with those identical moneyline parameters. The White Sox have gone a dismal 58-90 (.392) the last 2-seasons when facing a division opponent.

Free MLB Pick: Royals -150 at 5Dimes

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