MLB Picks: Rockies vs. Dodgers Series Odds

Willie Bee

Monday, June 16, 2014 12:15 PM GMT

Monday, Jun. 16, 2014 12:15 PM GMT

The Los Angeles Dodgers will have their ace on the mound Wednesday night when they go for a sweep in the MLB odds series against the Colorado Rockies.

 

18th June
Rockies vs. Dodgers Game 3

By: Willie Bee

 

What started as a beautiful road trip for the Colorado Rockies has stalled out in Los Angeles. Faced with being swept by the Dodgers, Colorado is going to have to beat the ace of LA's staff in order to head home with a winning mark on the 6-game journey.

Los Angeles handed the Rockies their 2nd-straight loss on Tuesday, using the long ball and a gutty pitching performance by Zack Greinke in the 4-2 win. The Dodgers gained a game on San Francisco in the NL West with the dubya and have their brooms standing by in hopes of cutting even more into the current 5-game gap.

A pair of 6-game winners who both sling it from the left side is our initial mound clash as Jorge De La Rosa is up for the Rockies opposite LA's Clayton Kershaw in a rematch from earlier this month.  The Dodgers opened at -200 on the MLB odds for the 10:10 PM (ET) start, but that moneyline has gone up a bit after overnight trading while a 6.5 run total has been stagnant.

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Kershaw Takes Aim At 4th Straight Win
For the second consecutive game in this series, we have a starting pitching matchup that we've seen before this season.  De La Rosa and Kershaw hooked up in Denver 10 days ago, a game that was shortened to 5½ innings due to rain.  Kershaw was the victor in LA's 6-1 triumph, the Dodgers ace striking out nine and surrendering Colorado's lone run, while De La Rosa worked into the top of the sixth and allowed five of Los Angeles' runs.

De La Rosa followed that up with a short 3-inning stint last Friday in San Francisco, forced from the game due to a sore back.  He beat the Dodgers in LA back in late-April (7 IP, 1 ER), his only career win at Chavez Ravine where he has a career ERA of 3.70.

Kershaw brings a 3-start winning streak into Wednesday's fracas, sandwiching the dubya at Coors Field on June 8 with home victories over the White Sox and Diamondbacks,  The Dallas native has walked just two batters over his last 27 innings and owns a 34:2 K/BB ration in 29 innings at Dodger Stadium this year.


Umpire Notes, Final Thoughts & A Free Pick
Greg Gibson began 2014 with six straight 'under' winners, but that has started to level out some with a 5-2-1 O/U/P record since then.  The 18-year veteran worked the plate at Dodger Stadium on May 27 in a 6-3 LA win over Cincinnati that went past the total, his third straight 'over' on this diamond.

Weather will once again be a non-factor with clear skies and the thermometer right around 70 at first pitch.  Also a non-factor in this one is LA shortstop Hanley Ramirez who is expected to miss at least two days of action after taking a grounder off his throwing hand in Tuesday's contest.

Ramirez's replacement, Carlos Triunfel, factored into Game 2 with his first big league homer, one of three the Dodgers hit in the contest.  That proved to be just enough to get us a run-line payout, and that's the same direction I'm going with Wednesday's free pick.

My Pick: Dodgers -1.5 (+105)

Season: 66-65 (+1.15)

 

17th June
Rockies vs. Dodgers Game 2

By: Willie Bee

 

It was about this time last year when the Los Angeles Dodgers started to turn their season around en route to an NL West Division title. If their play Monday night against the Colorado Rockies was any indication, the Dodgers might be ready to repeat that performance.

Los Angeles grabbed a 6-1 win in Game 1 of the set as Hyun-Jin Ryu and Dee Gordon turned in solid efforts. Ryu worked six 3-hit innings, Colorado's only run coming on a Wilin Rosario solo shot, and Gordon led a 15-hit LA attack with three singles and a triple to fuel the Dodgers lineup.

The victory helped Los Angeles creep a little closer to the idle Giants in the NL West, and the Dodgers aim to make up more ground in Tuesday's 10:10 PM (ET) tilt. The MLB odds suggest they'll have a good chance to do just that with Zack Greinke on the mound as -180 chalk. Jhoulys Chacin gets the start for the Rockies, and scoreboard bettors are seeing mostly 7's for the total, a few 6.5's also starting to show up.

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Greinke, Chacin Duel For 2nd Time In 10 Days
Neither Chacin nor Greinke figured into the decision 10 days ago in Denver when they went against each other at Coors Field. Chacin worked six allowing three runs while Greinke went seven with four runs (3 earned) charged to his ledger in a game the Rockies eventually won in the 10th inning, 5-4, as +120 underdogs.

Colorado dropped Chacin's first six starts after he missed the first month of the season with a shoulder injury, but have since won the Venezuelan's last two trips to the mound. He was superb last Thursday at home against the Braves, earning his first dubya of the campaign with seven scoreless frames, surrendering just two hits along the way.

The Dodgers have lost Greinke's last three assignments, including the gig at Coors on June 7. He followed that with a nice effort in Cincinnati last Thursday, giving up only two runs in six innings, a 1st-inning homer by Todd Frazier the only mistake he made. Since he came to LA last season, the Dodgers are 2-3 in his five starts vs. the Rockies, Grienke pitching to a 3.61 ERA in those contests.

 

Umpire Notes, Final Thoughts & A Free Pick
Quinn Wolcott has a slight 8-7 'over' lean, the 2nd-year umpire seeing a 4-game run above the total come to an end last Friday in Seattle where the Mariners dropped a 1-0 decision to the Rangers.  Wolcott has worked two Dodgers games this year, and both went past the scoreboard mark.

Another clear evening is in store for fans at Dodger Stadium where the thermometer will be in the mid-to-upper 60s at game time.  The only weather issue bettors need to consider is the 8-12 mph wind from the WSW (out to right).

The Rockies haven't lost consecutive games in LA since the end of the 2012 schedule, but I'm counting on that streak coming to an end Tuesday with an LA run line play for my free MLB pick.

My Pick: Dodgers -1.5 (+125)

Season: 65-64 (+0.90)

 

16th June
Rockies vs. Dodgers Game 1

By: Willie Bee

 

The San Francisco Giants continue to enjoy the largest lead in any of the six MLB divisions, but there are signs developing that suggest they aren't going to run away with the title as some have been predicting.

And it figures if anyone is going to make it a race out west, it will be either the Colorado Rockies or Los Angeles Dodgers, perhaps both. Those two squads will at least be our focus the next few days when they collide in Tinseltown for a three game set beginning Monday.

The series kicks off with a battle of southpaws, one making just his second big league start while the other is only in his second big league season. Hyun-Jin Ryu will deliver the first pitch at 10:10 PM (ET) for the Dodgers who are decided favorites on the MLB odds. Los Angeles opened in the -170 to -180 range on the moneyline before overnight action drove that price up to -190.

Colorado is sending Tyler Matzek to the mound at Dodger Stadium, and SBR's live baseball odds have a 7 run total for the contest, the 'over' costing a little extra.

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Rocks Arrive In LA On 5-Game Run
Colorado (34-35, -0.7 units, 37-27-5) has roared back into the NL West picture after looking dead in the water only last week. The Rockies just swept the Giants in San Francisco to begin this road trip, giving them a 5-game win streak after losing 11 of their previous 12 games.

Los Angeles (37-34, -8.4 units, 36-32-3) is treading water so far in June with a 7-7 mark. The Dodgers took two of three from the Diamondbacks this past weekend, and will have a strong advantage on the mound for all three games in this set.

The Dodgers also have a pretty healthy 196-150 advantage over the Rockies in the all-time series, 103-68 (.602) at Chavez Ravine. Colorado took two of three here back in April, however, and has won or split each of the last four series in LA. Two of the games earlier this year went past the total, the other pushing a 7 run mark.

Colorado returned the favor two weekends ago by losing two of three to the Dodgers in Denver. All three of those contests stayed 'under' the number, 8.5 being the shortest total following straight-7's during the April set in Los Angeles.

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Rocks Rook Set For Appearance Near Home
The 11th overall pick in MLB's amateur draft five years ago, Matzek climbed through Colorado's farm system with rather unspectacular numbers before making his big league debut this past Wednesday. It was a good one, the 23-year-old working through seven innings and allowing just two runs in pitcher-friendly Coors Field, striking out seven with nary a walk.

Matzek reached Triple-A Colorado Springs this season and recorded a 4.05 ERA in 12 starts, decent numbers in the PCL. He can bring a fastball around 93-94, and has a slider, curve and changeup to keep hitters off-balance. Matzek has been prone to wildness, and this will be a hyped start as he pitches for the first time at Dodger Stadium which is about 50 miles from where he grew up in Mission Viejo.

Ryu lost for the first time since coming off the DL last Wednesday in Cincinnati, charged with four of the Reds' runs in a 5-zip ballgame. That snapped a 4-game win streak for the Korean, a stretch that included beating the Rockies at Coors on June 6 (6 IP, 2 ER). He lost to the Rockies in LA at the end of April before going on the disabled list, and sits level against Colorado for his career -- 2-2 in 4 starts with a 4.71 ERA.

There shouldn't be any issues with the weather over the next few days in Los Angeles. Monday's first pitch should find the thermometer in the mid-60s with clear skies and a 7-10 mph wind from the southwest (out to right).

I love how the Rockies are playing right now, but instead of backing the underdogs with my free pick for the opener, I'll be on the offenses to send this one past the total.

MLB Pick: Rockies-Dodgers Over 7

Season: 65-63 (+1.90)

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