MLB Picks: Rockies vs. Daimondbacks

Joe Freda

Sunday, April 28, 2013 3:27 PM GMT

The Arizona Diamondbacks pulled out Saturday’s 3-2 win over the Colorado Rockies in 10 innings, cashing as 149 home favorites.

Sunday afternoon’s finale has Diamondbacks southpaw Patrick Corbin (2-0, 1.71 ERA) matched up against Rockies right-hander Jon Garland (2-1, 4.68 ERA).

Which bet looks best for our baseball picks, as another tight affair looms between these National League West rivals? 

Corbin stingy in S.F.

Corbin picked up a second straight no-decision in Tuesday’s 6-4 win for Arizona as a 127 road dog against the San Francisco Giants. The 23-year-old gave up two runs on six hits, while tossing seven strikeouts over 7 1/3 innings.

Diamondbacks closer J.J. Putz blew a save in the ninth frame, sending the battle into extra innings. Arizona brought in its two deciding runs in the top of the 11th, with mates Didi Gregorius and Gerardo Parra crossing the plate.

The duel’s combined 10 runs leaped above the ‘total’ of 6 ½, ending a 2-0 UNDER streak from Corbin’s prior pair of starts. Diamondbacks third baseman Paul Goldschmidt cracked a homer and double, notching three RBIs.

Garland logs first loss

Garland was shelled for six runs on the same night for Colorado, losing as 122 home ‘chalk’ to the Atlanta Braves, 10-2. The 13-year veteran allowed 10 hits in a six-inning stint, including three homers.

Rockies outfielders Eric Young and Michael Cuddyear drove in one run each, uniting to hit 5-for-9. Colorado’s Dexter Fowler and Reid Brignac were held to a combined 0-for-7 night, leaving six men on base.

The contest jumped OVER the ‘total’ of 9 ½, with Rockies reliever Josh Outman giving up four late runs to the Braves. Colorado was edged out in hits, 14-12, while Atlanta’s Freddie Freeman logged the battle’s sole error.

Back the UNDER in Arizona

Bookmaker.eu opened Corbin as a 150 home favorite on their MLB odds boards, while first setting the ‘total’ at a flat nine. Colorado continues its road trip with Monday’s opener against the Los Angeles Dodgers, while Arizona remains home against San Francisco.

I am adding the UNDER to Sunday’s card of sports picks, looking for the octane to stay low between these foes. The UNDER has cashed at 2-0-1 in the series’ first three affairs, moving the wager to a 7-0-1 mark in the rivals’ last eight meetings.

Corbin’s sole home start for Arizona saw the New York native hold Los Angeles scoreless in six frames, with just three hits allowed. The tight outing lifted the UNDER to 3-1-1 in Corbin’s last five outings at Chase Field.

Garland should settle down here after Tuesday’s setback, returning to form of his stingy victory in last week’s day game against the New York Mets. The righty held New York to two runs over seven innings, while the UNDER is 2-1 in Garland’s last three road visits against Arizona’s lineup.

Colorado has seen the UNDER cash at 4-1 in its last five road games against left-handed starters, while Arizona has had UNDER backers collect at a 9-4-3 clip in its last 16 home dates facing a listed righty. Look for the UNDER to get the money again here in a close contest down the stretch.

Also, check out Padres Picks here!

[gameodds]3/225758/43-349-192/us[/gameodds]

Free Pick: UNDER 9 at Bet365