Mat Latos hasn’t enjoyed any success when pitching in South Beach, which makes the Cincinnati Reds a vulnerable road favorite against the Miami Marlins Thursday night.
Let’s take a closer look at the MLB odds for this National League matchup at Marlins Park, with the opening pitch scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET.
Cincinnati has won five games in a row, including a 4-0 shutout victory over Miami as -180 road favorites Wednesday night, while going UNDER the betting total of 8.
The Reds are 8-12 after shutting out their opponent the last two-plus seasons, but they’ve dropped both games in that particular situation during the 2013 MLB campaign.
Lack of offense
It’s very hard to back Miami in any situation, considering it ranks last in the majors in batting average (.224) and runs scored (110), as it attempts to snap a four-game losing streak in this contest.
The Marlins are 5-13 at home—suffering a loss in all 10 games when the roof is closed at its ballpark that opened just a season ago.
Reds starting pitcher Mat Latos (4-0, 3.04 ERA) has led the club to four consecutive wins, including a 13-7 home victory over the Milwaukee Brewers last time out, as he allowed seven runs (six earned) and nine hits over six frames.
The right-hander is 2-0 with a 2.66 ERA in four road outings, issuing eight walks and striking out 21 batters in 23.2 combined innings.
In six career appearances versus Miami, Latos has compiled an 0-3 record and 6.10 ERA, including an 0-2 mark and 9.26 ERA in three road starts.
Marlins starting pitcher Jose Fernandez (2-2, 3.65 ERA) has led the team to three consecutive wins, including a 5-4 road victory over the Los Angeles Dodgers last time out, as he surrendered three runs and eight hits over six innings.
The right-hander hasn’t earned a decision in two home appearances, but has limited the opposition to just two runs and five hits over 10 combined frames.
Fernandez is limiting left-handed batters to a .180 average this season, which is important when facing a dangerous Reds’ lineup with Jay Bruce, Shin-Soo Choo and Joey Votto.
I’m going to recommend that readers back the Marlins in the first five innings as one of their MLB picks Thursday, as the Reds are 0-2 after shutting out their opponent during the 2013 season.