MLB Picks: Red Sox vs. Yankees

Darin Zank

Wednesday, April 3, 2013 12:51 PM GMT

Wednesday, Apr. 3, 2013 12:51 PM GMT

The Red Sox got dominated by the Yankees last year, but opened this season Monday with a win in the Bronx. Which way are we leaning for a free MLB pick on this game?

MLB Picks: Red Sox vs. Yankees

After taking Tuesday off, the teams begin again with the second game of their season-opening three-game set at Yankee Stadium Wednesday night (7 pm ET, ESPN2).

Can the Sox make it two in a row as dogs on the road? Or will the Yanks rebound and avoid an 0-2 start?

This season's MLB picks record: 1-0 (+ $100)

Sox-Yanks on the MLB Betting Line

Most of the baseball bookmakers we consulted opened their baseball odds for Wednesday's game with New York and Hiroki Kuroda favored by around -115, then bumped the Yanks to -125. But they later dropped New York back down to around -115. New York could also be found at around +115 on the run line.

Sox-Yanks: The Situation

Boston won the season opener Monday night 8-2 , getting four runs in the second inning off New York ace CC Sabathia, five good innings from Jon Lester and four innings of one-hit ball from the bullpen. In doing so the Sox provided their financial backers with a winning wager at a price of +100, while Yanks backers lost at -110.

Boston is trying to rebound this season after a disastrous 69-93 campaign of last year. Over the off-season the Sox added Shane Victorino, Jonny Gomes and Mike Napoli, and those three combined for four hits Monday night.

As of earlier this week Boston was getting 6/1 to win the AL East this season, and went off with a regular-season wins OVER/UNDER of 83.

New York posted the best record in the American League last year, but got swept by Detroit in the ALCS. The Yanks were old last year, and they're even older this year. At the moment many of those old bones are sidelined with various ailments. New York is getting about 3/1 to win the AL East, and went off with a wins O/U of 85.

Sox-Yanks Head-to-Head

Last year, on its way toward winning the AL East, New York took the season series from Boston 13 games to five.

Wednesday's Whirlers

Kuroda, coming off a fine first season with the Yankees, gets the call Wednesday against Clay Buchholz for Boston.

Kuroda went 16-11 with a 3.32 ERA last year for New York, and finished well, allowing nine runs over his last four starts, two of those in the playoffs. On the season Kuroda gave up fewer hits than innings pitched and walked just 51 in 220 innings.

In five starts last year against Boston Kuroda allowed 14 ER and 36 hits through 34 2/3 innings. The Yankees won three of those five games,

Kuroda also had a good Spring Training, allowing just three ER over 18 innings of work.

Buchholz is coming off a 2012 season in which he started miserably, had a decent stretch after the All-Star break, then finished with two bad starts, including one against the Yankees. For the year he went  11-8 with a 4.64 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP, but somehow Boston went 15-14 in Buchholz' starts.

Buchholz got bombed in his two starts versus the Yanks last year, allowing 13 ER and eight home runs (!) over just 7 2/3 innings. However, A-Rod, Jeter, Granderson and Teixeira accounted for four of those homers, and none of those guys will be in the lineup Wednesday.

And Buchholz is also coming off a solid Spring Training in which he gave up just two runs and 12 hits over 23 innings of work.

Sox-Yanks Injury Update

The Yankees are banged up; Derek Jeter, Alex Rodriguez, Curtis Granderson and Mark Teixeira are all out of action at the moment, replaced by guys like Jayson Nix, Kevin Youkilis and Vernon Wells. New York managed just six hits Monday night, five of those being singles.

Boston, meanwhile, is playing without Big Papi, who's still dealing with that sore Achilles.

Free MLB Pick

The Red Sox were scary bad last year, but maybe with the new manager comes a new attitude. The Yankees, meanwhile, are already falling apart; might they struggle through a season like Boston did last year?

Kuroda was kind to us on several occasions last year, while Buchholz was like gasoline. But Buchholz had a very nice Spring, and won't have to deal with several of the usual suspects in the New York lineup. So in this spot we like the underdog.

MLB Pick: Take Boston at the +107 offered at 5Dimes. 

[gameodds]3/223752/43-19-1096-92/us[/gameodds]

Did I cash yesterday with my Rangers - Astros pick?
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