MLB Picks: Red Sox vs. Yankees Odds & Analysis

Jeff Grant

Thursday, April 4, 2013 5:29 PM UTC

Thursday, Apr. 4, 2013 5:29 PM UTC

The Boston Red Sox will be trying to start out a season with three consecutive wins for the first time since 1999, as they close out a series against the New York Yankees Thursday night.

Let’s take a closer look at the MLB betting odds for this American League East affair, with the first pitch scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET at Yankee Stadium

Good start 

Boston has outscored New York by a 15-6 combined margin in winning the first two games of the series, including a 7-4 victory as +110 road underdogs Wednesday night, while going OVER the total in both contests.

The Red Sox starting staff finished 27th in the league with a 5.19 ERA during the 2012 campaign, but things have seemingly turned around with former pitching coach John Farrell at the helm, as they enter with a 2.25 ERA through two games.

It’s still important to note that the club has a losing 24-26 record in April the last two-plus seasons, with the OVER going 26-20-4 in that situation.

Down and out

New York continues to accumulate injuries at a very high rate, as Wednesday’s starting pitcher Hiroki Kuroda lasted just 1.1 innings, as he left the game after getting hit by a line drive on his throwing hand.

The Bronx Bombers will now be focused on trying to avoid their second straight 0-3 start, while they’ve gone just 19-19 against the Red Sox at the new Yankee Stadium, which is important to consider when making your pro baseball picks in this series finale.


Ryan Dempster is 0-4 with a 7.62 ERA in five career starts versus the Yankees, which happens to be his second-highest mark against any AL team over the course of his career. 

The right-hander will be making his first-ever start as a member of the Red Sox, as he split time with the Texas Rangers and Chicago Cubs during the 2012 campaign.  Dempster compiled a 1-2 record and 3.74 ERA in six Spring Training appearances.

Refer to our Picks of the Day which features this Re Sox - Yankees game!


Solid numbers in April

Yankees starting pitcher Andy Pettitte hasn’t faced off against the Red Sox since Oct. 2, 2010, as he’s gone 18-10 with a 3.91 ERA in 37 career starts in this rivalry, including a 11-7 mark and 3.95 ERA in 20 appearances in the Bronx.

The left-hander has been known to start seasons off in strong fashion, which is clearly evident in his 32-22 record and 3.55 ERA in 75 appearances (71 starts) in April over the course of his storied career.


I’m going to recommend that readers play the total as one of their MLB betting picks, as the early line movement suggests that this could be a low-scoring affair, especially considering that game-time temperatures are expected to be in the mid-40s. 

MLB Pick: Under 8 (-115) at Bookmaker

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