MLB Picks: Red Sox vs. Tigers Odds & Prediction

Joe Freda

Thursday, June 20, 2013 12:35 PM GMT

Thursday’s MLB betting has the Boston Red Sox opening a four-game road set with the Detroit Tigers, while both clubs sit on top of their respective divisions.

Tigers lefty Jose Alvarez (1-0, 1.50 ERA) is slated to face Red Sox right-hander John Lackey (4-5, 3.08 ERA). OK, let's review the MLB odds for this clash of powerhouse teams.

Tigers, Sox square off at Comerica

Detroit and Boston have not met since last season’s 10 affairs, splitting them with five wins apiece. The span’s three matchups in Detroit saw the Tigers come away with a sweep, while the OVER collected at 2-1.

Detroit began its present homestand going 1-2 against the Baltimore Orioles, capped off by Wednesday’s 13-3 loss as a 132 favorite. The Tigers were unable to rally from an early 6-1 deficit, while edged in hits, 17-11 and botching many a bettor's baseball picks

Boston heads west after taking 2-of-3 against the Tampa Bay Rays at Fenway Park, with the UNDER cashing each time out. Red Sox outfielder Jonny Gomes went 2-for-4 in Wednesday night’s finale, while reliever Craig Breslow gave up three runs in a 6-2 defeat.

Alvarez called up again

Alvarez made his sole start for the Tigers on June 9, lasting six innings in a 4-1 victory for Detroit over the Cleveland Indians. The rookie cashed as 123 home ‘chalk,’ allowing a homer to Cleveland’s Ryan Raburn as part of three hits.

Detroit then sent Alvarez back down to Triple-A’s Toledo Mud Hens, who started the Venezuela native this past Friday against the Syracuse Chiefs. Alvarez allowed five earned runs over 6 2/3 IP, surrendering three long balls.

Lackey goes seven for win

Lackey notched his first win in four starts with Saturday’s 5-4 victory for Boston as a 108 home favorite against the Baltimore Orioles. The 34-year-old allowed two runs over seven innings, while logging four strikeouts.

Red Sox reliever Andrew Bailey held on for his eighth save of the year, despite giving up a late long ball to Baltimore’s Matt Wieters. Boston’s Mike Carp and Stephen Drew poked a homer and double, respectively, uniting for three RBIs.

Back the Tigers as home ‘chalk’ 

Bet365 opened Alvarez as a 128 home favorite, while first setting the ‘total’ at a flat nine. Boston’s Mike Carp (.324 BA, 25 RBIs) is listed as “questionable” after missing the team’s set with Tampa Bay due to a hamstring injury.

I am adding a ticket to Thursday’s sports picks on Alvarez and Detroit, looking for the Tigers to drive in their share of runs.

Detroit has hit .308 against right-handed pitching at home, while notching a 6-1 mark in its last seven games that followed a loss. Tigers mates Miguel Cabrera and Jhonny Peralta have united to hit 14-for-27 facing Lackey’s arm, while coming in hot with a combined 11-for-24 mark in their three games against Baltimore. 

Alvarez faces a Red Sox club that has been held to a .231 BA against lefties on the road, while bringing in just 3 RPG over its last nine contests. Detroit is 17-7 in its last 24 home dates against foes with winning road records, while not losing three straight games at Comerica all season.

Look for the Tigers to get the money here, roaring back after Wednesday’s dismal defeat. 

[gameodds]3/236783/43-349-192/us[/gameodds]

MLB Pick: Detroit Tigers -128 at Bet365