MLB Picks: Red Sox vs. Tigers ALCS Game 4

Jeff Grant

Wednesday, October 16, 2013 12:40 PM GMT

Wednesday, Oct. 16, 2013 12:40 PM GMT

Runs have been hard to come by in the 2013 ALCS between the Boston Red Sox and Detroit Tigers, but things may change Wednesday night. 

Let’s take a closer look at the MLB betting lines for Game 4 of this best-of-seven series at Comerica Park, with the first pit ch scheduled for 8:07 p.m. ET on FOX. 

By the slimmest of margins 

Boston has outscored Detroit by a combined 7-6 margin in the first three games of this series, which has provided the club a 2-1 advantage heading into Wednesday.   

The Red Sox hold a 33-18 scoring advantage over opponents in seven games during the 2013 MLB playoffs, with both losses coming by a single run.

Power outage 

Detroit possessed one of the league’s best offenses since the start of the regular season, but the lineup has scored just 23 runs during the postseason—fewest among the four remaining teams vying for a spot in the 2013 World Series.

Third baseman Miguel Cabrera must bounce back from one of his worst career performances, as he failed to reach base for the first time as a member of the Tigers during the postseason Tuesday. 

The Tigers are hitting just .152 with runners in scoring position over their last four games—a statistic that played a major part in their 1-0 defeat to the Red Sox yesterday afternoon. 

Peavy 

Red Sox starting pitcher Jake Peavy didn’t earn a decision in a 3-1 road win over the Tampa Bay Rays in the ALDS on Oct. 8, as he allowed a single run and five hits over 5.2 innings of work.

The right-hander was 5-5 with a 5.27 ERA in 14 road games during the regular season, surrendering 12 home runs in 82 combined frames.

In 12 career starts versus the Tigers, Peavy has compiled a losing 4-5 record and 4.83 ERA, including a 1-3 mark and 4.15 ERA in five efforts at this ballpark. 

Fister 

Tigers starting pitcher Doug Fister didn’t factor into the decision of a 8-6 home victory over the Oakland Athletics in the ALDS on Oct. 8, as he allowed three runs and seven hits over six frames. 

The right-hander is 2-4 with a 4.36 ERA in eight lifetime appearances against the Red Sox, including a 1-1 mark and 5.23 ERA in two outings in 2013. 

Check out my pick on the NLDS Game 5 for today!

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Prediction

I’m going to recommend that readers play the total for their MLB picks, as the OVER is 13-6 in the last 19 overall meetings in this series. 

MLB Pick: Over 7.5

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