MLB Picks: Red Sox vs. Tigers ALCS Game 3

Jeff Grant

Tuesday, October 15, 2013 11:36 AM GMT

The Detroit Tigers let a golden opportunity slip away last time out, but they’ll likely regain momentum against the Boston Red Sox Tuesday. Where are we looking to place our MLB picks in tonight's important matchup?

Let’s take a closer look at the MLB odds for Game 3 of the 2013 ALCS at Comerica Park, with the first pitch scheduled for 4:07 p.m. ET on FOX.

Big Papi 

Boston overcame a five-run deficit to pick up a 6-5 victory over Detroit as -129 home favorites in the second game of this best-of-seven series Sunday, while going OVER the betting total of 7.

The Red Sox are even after two games due to the heroics of designated hitter David Ortiz, who happens to be the franchise’s all-time leader in runs, hits, home runs and RBI during postseason play.

Rotation is rolling

Detroit has certainly reached this stage due to the dominance of its starting rotation, which has taken a no-hitter into the sixth inning in the past three games.

The Tigers have won six of their last seven ALCS games when playing in the Motor City,  while the OVER is 4-1 in their last five playoff games overall in front of their fans.

Lackey 

Red Sox starting pitcher John Lackey earned a 7-4 home win over the Tampa Bay Rays in his first postseason outing on Oct. 5, as they allowed four runs and seven hits over 5.1 innings of work.

The right-hander compiled a 4-10 record and 4.48 ERA in 16 road appearances during the regular season, surrendering 18 home runs in 98.1 combined frames.

In 12 career games versus the Tigers, Lackey has produced a 6-3 record and 3.86 ERA, including a 4-1 mark and 3.83 ERA in six efforts at this ballpark. 

Verlander

Tigers starting pitcher Justin Verlander has truly been dominant during the 2013 MLB playoffs, as he allowed just six hits in 15 scoreless innings in two outings versus the Oakland Athletics.

The right-hander went 6-7 with a 3.73 ERA in 17 home appearances during the regualr season, issuing 43 walks and striking out 97 batters in 111 combined frames.

In 11 lifetime appearances versus the Red Sox, Verlander has tallied a 3-4 record and 3.63 ERA.

[gameodds]3/247269/?r3=43-19-349/dec&r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]

Prediction

I’m going to recommend backing the Tigers with their MLB picks, as Verlander is 7-2 with a 2.44 ERA in 10 career starts with umpire Ron Kulpa behind home plate, while Lackey is 0-3 with a 4.31 ERA in four efforts in that situation.

MLB Pick:  Detroit Tigers -155

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