MLB Picks: Red Sox vs. Rays ALDS Game 3

Jeff Grant

Monday, October 7, 2013 12:52 PM GMT

Monday, Oct. 7, 2013 12:52 PM GMT

The Boston Red Sox are sending out the right starting pitcher to take on the Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field, as the two teams prepare to meet Monday night. Which of tonight's odds options do we think hold the most promise for our MLB picks in this situation?

Let’s take a closer look at the MLB betting odds for Game 3 of this American League Division Series, with the first pitch scheduled for 6:07 p.m. ET.

Review our predictions for the price of this series.

Scoring runs

Boston plated 19 runs to win the first two games of this best-of-five series, including a 7-4 victory over Tampa Bay last Saturday, while going OVER the betting total for a second consecutive contest.

The Red Sox have compiled a 5-3 all-time record in Game 3 when holding a 2-0 advantage in a postseason series, as they try to improve upon their 14-7 mark against the Rays since the start of the regular season.

Back home 

Tampa Bay returns to the Sunshine State after a five-city, 10-game, 12-day road trip, as it now focuses on trying to avoid elimination in this affair.  

The Rays are 12-4 in their last 16 games as a home underdog, which is why it’s important to keep a close eye on the money line before the first pitch is thrown.  

Buchholz 

Red Sox starting pitcher Clay Buchholz (12-1, 1.74 ERA) picked up a 12-3 road victory over the Baltimore Orioles last time out on Sept. 27, as he allowed three runs and seven hits over seven frames.

The right-hander was 6-0 with a 1.40 ERA in seven road outings, with opposing hitters batting .187 against him. 

In 16 career games versus the Rays, Buchholz has compiled a 7-5 record and 2.41 ERA. 

Cobb 

Rays starting pitcher Alex Cobb (11-3, 2.76 ERA) picked up a 4-0 road win over the Cleveland Indians in the AL Wild Card game last Wednesday, as he scattered eight hits over 6.2 innings of work. 

The right-hander went 7-0 with a 2.81 ERA in 13 home games, with opposing hitters batting .225 against him.

In seven lifetime efforts versus the Red Sox, Cobb has put together a 2-2 record and 4.19 ERA, including an 0-1 mark and 5.16 ERA in four appearances in 2013.

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Prediction 

I’m going to recommend that readers back the Red Sox with their MLB picks, as they’ve gone 20-6 in Buchholz’s last 26 games as a road favorite. 

MLB Pick:  Boston Red Sox -110

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