MLB Picks: Red Sox vs. Orioles Series Coverage

Swinging Johnson

Friday, June 14, 2013 1:06 PM GMT

The Red Sox dropped the first of a four-game set last night against the Orioles and there has been much drama! What the MLB odds say about this one tonight and where the value lies in our MLB picks.
Swinging Johnson – MLB Record (9-6, +5.88 units

*Games assigned 1 to 5 units.

Update:

We are now in the midst of a three-game win streak cashing with the Angels as +132 MLB odds underdogs for four big units over the Red Sox and then jumping on the other side of the fence, picking the Red Sox to roll over those same Angels in the next two games of their series. 

Now we have to look at this matchup between Boston and their hosts in Baltimore for not just this game but the remainder of the series so come on back tomorrow and Sunday as we try to figure this one out together in our MLB picks.

Boston Red Sox (41-27, +7.1 units)

Boston railed to knot the game at four only to see their efforts go for naught in extra innings (much like their Boston Bruins brothers in triple overtime) as Baltimore wound up on top 5-4 in a 13 inning marathon on Thursday night. The Red Sox now hold a 2 ½ game advantage over the second-place Orioles in the AL East.

After winning their last two series against the Angels and then the Rays, Boston will hope to right the ship this evening and even up the series in Baltimore.  The Red Sox will send the veteran Ryan Dempster (4-6, 4.40) to the mound who has won his last two outings with the backing of prolific offensive efforts in which his team combined for 27 runs in wins over the Rangers and Angels.  Dempster has been solid recently, allowing only three earned runs in both games, preceded by another fine effort, though a 3-1 loss to Philadelphia, in which he was outdueled by Cliff Lee.

Baltimore Orioles (38-29, +8.9 units)

The Orioles have now won four of their last five and send Chris Tillman (6-2, 3.89) to the hill who, like Dempster, has gotten prodigious run support from his team in his last four outings where the Orioles’ bats have averaged a whopping 9.9 runs per start.  In his last three starts against Boston he has been magnificent earning a 1.40 ERA and contributing to a 3-2 victory (though no decision) on April 11th as a +115 underdog. 

Baltimore first baseman Chris Davis has been a monster this season.  He is currently batting .338, 21 HR’s and 56 RBI’s.  He proved his value once again last night as he connected for a walk-off single in the 13th inning which sealed the deal for the Orioles in a 5-4 victory.  Over his last nine meetings he has shredded the Sox, batting .433, nine RBI’s and blasting five dingers which has been instrumental in Baltimore’s recent dominance over Boston.  The Orioles have taken six of the last seven games against the Red Sox.

Let's look at Steven Suarez Betting Odds Report for Friday, to get a jump on our baseball betting.

[gameodds]3/236344/43-349-192/us[/gameodds]

The Pick:

The slight edge has to go with the home team in this one but it’s still very much a flip of the coin.  Both pitchers have hit their stride though Tillman did get blasted by the Nationals just two weeks ago at home in a 9-6 loss which saw him surrender six runs on eight hits through just 4.7 innings.  Both pitchers have only allowed a total of three runs over their last three meetings with each other.  I think you know where I’m headed with this.  Do the limbo baby and go under the total here.

Play Under 9.5 (-120) for 2 units in your MLB picks at Bet 365.com.