MLB Picks: Red Sox vs. Cardinals in Game 4

Jeff Grant

Sunday, October 27, 2013 3:41 PM GMT

Sunday, Oct. 27, 2013 3:41 PM GMT

Let’s take a closer look at the MLB betting odds for Game 4 of the 2013 World Series at Busch Stadium, with the first pitch scheduled for 8:15 ET on FOX. 


The Boston Red Sox and St. Louis Cardinals went deep into their respective bullpens last night, which could lead to some runs being scored Sunday.

Life on the road 

Boston must win a game in St. Louis to send this best-of-seven series back to Fenway Park, as it looks to improve upon its 17-14 all-time record on the road in the Fall Classic. 

The Red Sox will continue to play David Ortiz at first base, which leaves right-handed power hitter Mike Napoli on the bench as an option late as a pinch hitter. 

It’s important to point out that the club is 37-14 in its last 51 games following a loss. 

The upper hand

St. Louis own a 2-1 advantage in this matchup after picking up a 5-4 home victory over Boston in Game 3 Saturday, while going OVER the betting odds total of 7. 

The last 12 teams to win the third game of a playoff series that opened with a split has gone on to win the title 11 times.

The Cardinals are 58-57 overall in World Series play, including a 31-26 mark at home.

Buchholz

Red Sox starting pitcher Clay Buchholz hasn’t earned a decision in compiling a 5.40 ERA in three postseason efforts, as he was last seen on the mound against the Detroit Tigers on Oct. 19.

The right-hander went 6-0 with a 1.40 ERA in seven road outings during the regular season, with opposing hitters batting .187 against him.

Buchholz will be making his first career appearance versus the Cardinals.

Joe Freda's Game 4 World Series pick.

Lynn

Cardinals starting pitcher Lance Lynn is 2-1 with a 5.40 ERA in three outings during the 2013 MLB playoffs, as he comes off a 4-2 road victory over the Los Angeles Dodgers on Oct. 15.

The right-hander tallied an impressive 9-3 record and 2.82 ERA in 16 home appearances during the regular season.

[gameodds]3/247761/?r-1=43-19-349-192/us[/gameodds]

Prediction 

I’m going to recommend that readers play the total for their MLB picks tonight, as the OVER is 6-2 in Buchholz’ last eight road starts versus teams with a winning record, while Lynn has allowed left-handed hitters to bat .263 against him in his career. 

MLB Pick: Over 7.5 at bet365

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