MLB Picks: Red Sox vs. Blue Jays 5 inning Play

Jeff Grant

Wednesday, May 1, 2013 12:36 PM GMT

Wednesday, May. 1, 2013 12:36 PM GMT

The Boston Red Sox have won Clay Buchholz’ last seven road starts against the Toronto Blue Jays, as the two teams continue a three-game series Wednesday night. 


The Boston Red Sox have won Clay Buchholz’ last seven road starts against the Toronto Blue Jays. These two teams will continue their three-game series Wednesday night. 

Let’s take a closer look at the MLB betting odds for this American League East matchup at the Rogers Centre, with the first pitch scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET. 

Turning the page 

Despite Tuesday’s 9-7 series-opening loss as -110 road favorites, Boston still finished April with Major League Baseball’s best record at 18-8, which was a game better in the win column than the Atlanta Braves and Texas Rangers. 

The Red Sox are 34-24 in the month of May the last two-plus seasons, with the OVER going 32-24-2 in that situation. 

Trying to put something together 

Toronto is going to have a hard time meeting preseason expectations if its unable to put together winning streaks, as it hasn’t won back-to-back games since April 12-13, as it avoided tying a franchise record for most losses in March/April with last night’s win. 

The Blue Jays are 7-20 in their last 27 opportunities when playing the second game of a series, with the UNDER cashing in four of the last five games in that situation. 

Check out my MLB Insider Report in the Forum.

Buchholz

Red Sox starting pitcher Clay Buchholz (5-0, 1.19 ERA) has led the club to victory in all five of his outings in 2013, including a 7-2 home victory over the Houston Astros last time out, allowing two runs and six hits over 7.2 strong innings.

In 15 career games (14 starts) versus the Blue Jays, Buchholz has compiled a solid 8-4 record and 2.60 ERA, including a 6-2 mark and 2.13 ERA in his last nine road starts in this series.

Buehrle

Blue Jays starting pitcher Mark Buehrle (1-1, 6.35 ERA) has watched his new team drop back-to-back games to the New York Yankees in his last two efforts, as he allowed eight runs (seven earned) and 14 hits in 12.1 combined innings. 

The left-hander is certainly capable of turning things around in starting a new month, as he’s garnered a dominating 28-16 record and 3.23 ERA during his career in May. 

In 19 lifetime appearances (18 starts) versus the Red Sox, Buehrle is 6-8 with a 4.64 ERA, with hitters batting .300 against him.  

[gameodds]3/225915/43-999997-192/us[/gameodds]

Heavy hitters 

MLB handicappers will find to of the better middle-of-the-order hitters in this affair, but one owns a distinct advantage over the other based on the opposing pitchers that they’ll face. 

Blue Jays third baseman Edwin Encarnacion has nine home runs and 20 RBI on the season, but has just a single hit in 15 career at-bats versus Buchholz.

Boston designated hitters David Ortiz enters on a career high 20-game hitting streak, which should continue due to his .361 career batting average against Buehrle. 

Prediction 

I’m going to recommend that readers back the Red Sox in the first five innings as one of their MLB picks picks Wednesday night, as they’ve gone 5-0 in Buchholz’ last five starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150. 

MLB Pick: Boston Red Sox -135 First Five Innings at Bet365

comment here