MLB Picks: Red Sox vs. Astros Rubbermatch Will Seal A Winning Sunday

Swinging Johnson

Sunday, April 24, 2016 3:42 PM GMT

Sunday, Apr. 24, 2016 3:42 PM GMT

The rubber game of this three-game set is slated tonight between the Boston Red Sox and the Houston Astros. Let’s analyze this matchup and the MLB odds to determine the sharp side.

Boston Red Sox (8-9, -2.2 units)
If there is one ugly common denominator between the Boston Red Sox and their slow start this season it can be pointed directly at their starting pitching. The BoSox own the highest ERA among starting pitching rotations in the American League. Even their coveted prized free agent David Price appears to be infected by the ineptitude surrounding him. Boston’s starting five have a combined ERA of 5.38 and Clay Buchholz was simply the most recent contributor to their pitching woes as he was shelled for five runs in five plus innings of work yesterday as the Astros rebounded from their 6-2 loss to begin the series with an 8-3 victory yesterday.

Highly touted prospect Henry Owens will take the bump and make his season debut in the series finale. Owens is replacing the injured Joe Kelly in the rotation and is hoping to improve upon his 2015 campaign where he made 11 starts and went 4-4 with a 4.57 ERA and a 1.365 WHIP over the course of 63 innings of work. He has never faced the Astros and will be making his first appearance at Minute Maid Park.


 

Houston Astros (6-12, -9.0 units)
After winning 86 games last year and making an appearance in the playoffs the Astros are off to a dismal start. Houston is middling this season in terms of offense with the 14th ranked offense and the 18th ranked team batting average. Houston trails right behind Boston with the 27th ranked team ERA which stands at 4.94. Houston was in the midst of a four-game slide before yesterday’s 8-3 victory over their guests.

Scott Feldman gets the nod for the Astros tonight as he carries an 0-2 mark on the season with a 4.11 Era and a 1.63 WHIP into this one. Houston’s No. 4 man in the starting rotation is 1-4 when starting against the Red Sox with an ERA of 9.37 and a WHIP of 2.143. His team's record is 2-5 (-3.2 units) in those starts. In his last outing on April 19th against the Rangers the MLB odds makers installed the Astros as +105 visiting underdogs and Feldman worked five innings, allowing three earned runs on six hits, before getting pulled in the 7-5 defeat.

 

Betting Analysis
Though the Red Sox have taken their fans and all who have backed them in their MLB picks on an emotional roller coaster this season we will side with the better offense and who we consider the better pitcher in young Henry Owens.  Boston has the potential to get on a big roll with some very offensively gifted players such as Xander Bogaerts, Dustin Pedroia, Hanley Ramirez, David Ortiz and of course Mookie Betts. If this team gets in the groove they can bring a a world of hurt to any pitcher, let alone a subpar performer like Scott Feldman.

Let’s grab the better team at a great price that will have us grabbing the juiced instead of laying it.

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Free MLB Pick:  Red Sox +108
Best Line Offered: at GTBets

MLB Record: (6-7, -1.21 units)

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