Let’s take a closer look at the MLB betting odds for this American League East matchup at the Rogers Centre, with the first pitch scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET.
Occupying the top spot
Boston suffered a 4-3 extra-innings loss to Toronto Wednesday, but it still holds a three-game lead over the second-place Tampa Bay Rays in the division standings.
The Red Sox are 9-2 as road favorites of -125 to -150 this season, with no advantage in terms of the betting total (5-5-1 Over/Under).
Toronto is 4-7 in its last 11 games versus Boston, including a 3-5 mark at this ballpark—getting outscored by a 46-26 margin over that span.
MLB handicappers will find that the Blue Jays are 4-9 as home underdogs of +100 to +125 this season, with no edge in terms of the betting total in that situation (6-6-1 Over/Under).
Red Sox starting pitcher Jake Peavy (9-4, 4.50 ERA) didn’t earn a decision in a 9-6 road defeat to the Kansas City Royals last time out, as he allowed six runs and 10 hits over five frames.
The right-hander is 3-4 with a 6.65 ERA in eight road outings, with opposing hitters batting .295 against him.
In five career games versus the Blue Jays, Peavy has compiled a 2-0 record and 3.60 ERA.
Blue Jays starting pitcher Mark Buehrle (8-7, 4.43 ERA) has led the club to four consecutive victories, including a 5-4 home win over the Oakland Athletics last time out, as he allowed three runs and seven hits over 5.1 innings of work.
The left-hander is 6-2 with a 3.09 ERA in 12 home appearances, issuing 21 walks and striking out 58 batters in 78.2 combined frames.
In 22 career games (21 starts) versus the Red Sox, Buehrle has posted a 6-9 record and 4.63 ERA, including a 0-1 mark and 4.58 ERA in three efforts this season.
I’m going to recommend that readers back the Red Sox, as Ortiz is batting .358 with 3 home runs and 13 RBIs in his career against Buehrle.
MLB Pick: Boston Red Sox -125 Bet 365