MLB Picks: Rays vs. Yankees Odds & Analysis

Joe Catalano

Thursday, June 20, 2013 1:52 PM GMT

The Tampa Bay Rays (37-35) and New York Yankees (39-32) have been laboring a bit lately and they face off at Yankee Stadium tonight.

They will try to keep pace with the American League leading Boston Red Sox who are out to considerable lead. Let's look at the MLB odds to decipher our picks.

First pitch is set for tonight at 7:05 pm ET at Yankee Stadium in the Bronx, N.Y. This game can be seen on the YES channel and MLB TV in locations where it isn’t blacked out.

Bet 365 Sportsbook lists the Yankees as a -110 betting favorite and the total for the game is 8 runs.

Split and Tired

The Yankees are coming off of a doubleheader in which they split with the Los Angeles Dodgers. The world got to see young phenom, Yasiel Puig, have a huge doubleheader and park a ball over the right field fence at Yankee Stadium.

Andy Pettitte

The Yanks need a good outing after being embarrassed in the 2nd game of that doubleheader and in dire situations they always seem to turn to Andy Pettitte. Pettitte (5-4, 3.95) is getting a little long in the tooth as he’s surpassed his 41st birthday.

You don’t know what you’re going to get from Pettitte this season, but in his last 2 starts, he’s given the Yankees innings. In these starts, Pettitte has allowed 5 earned runs in 14 innings while going 1-1. Pettitte is also a career 17-7 against the Rays in 32 career starts.

An Unfriendly June

Andy and the Yanks will be challenged when they face left hander, Matt Moore. Moore had been strolling along and dominating this season until he played Detroit on June 4th.

In his 3 starts in June, Moore has gotten crushed, allowing 20 runs and 26 hits in just 12 1/3 innings worth of work. His ERA has nearly doubled from 2.18 to 4.12. The Yankees have gotten this pitcher at the right time because it doesn’t get much worse than that.

Not the Same Cano

Maybe the Yankees could blame it on all of the injuries that they’ve had to endure. The power numbers look great at 16 home runs and 42 runs batted in, but Cano is hitting a mere .278 and you never see Cano at this low an average.

Robbie has also been very inconsistent and had a power outage lately. In his last 10 games, Cano has just 1 HR and 3 RBI. Look for Cano too snap out of it; he’s too good a player to not hit consistently like he’s done throughout his illustrious career.

For his career, Cano is 4 for 12 against Moore with 1 HR and 2 RBI.

Beantown Beaters

The Rays are coming off of a fantastic performance in which they beat Boston on the road, 6-2 and out- hit the Sox 15 to 7. Evan Longoria had a huge 3 for 5 game while James Loney contributed with a 2 for 4 game with a run scored and an RBI.

Loney continues the surprising season as he’s hitting .300 with 8 HR ad 36 RBI’s. Very little was expected out of Loney this year, but he’s surprised everyone.

Loney had encountered  his 1st slump this season in which he went 0 for 18, but the performance against Boston was much needed.

This should be a very even matchup. Andy Pettitte rarely disappoints the Yankees when they need a big effort out of him.

[gameodds]3/236781/43-349-192/us[/gameodds]

Trends

The Under is 10-3 in Pettitte’s last 13 starts against the Rays

Under is 8-3-1 overall in the Yankees last 12 games overall

Under is 3-0-1 in the Rays last 4 games overall

Outcome

The trends certainly point to the under for our MLB picks. But, getting the Yankees at home with these odds against a pitcher like Matt Moore that’s taken such a beating, is too appealing to turn away.

Pick- New York Yankees -110 at Bet 365