Unfortunately for the Astros, home-field advantage doesn't mean much. Houston is one of the biggest dogs of the day at +190.
Ahead of tonight's game, Texas will be favored in the -210 to -215 range, making them the second-largest favorite of the day behind the Braves, who host the Marlins as -250 chalk on mos baseball odds boards. The total for tonight's game between the Rangers and Astros is at 8.5 runs.
Texas Rangers (Holland)
Thanks to a five-game winning streak, the Rangers are tied with the Athletics for first place in the AL West.
They're still putting up plenty of runs despite the suspension to Nelson Cruz, as Texas has scored 27 times over their last three games combined.
And, with Derek Holland, Yu Darvish, and Matt Garza making up the top of the rotation, the Rangers look to be primed for a serious playoff run come October.
Holland is coming off a phenomenal start in which he gave up four hits and zero runs in eight innings against Oakland – he struck out 10 batters and walked just two. Holland has now allowed only 15 earned runs over his past 58 innings of work.
What's more, the southpaw has been even better on the road, where he's 7-1 with a 2.61 ERA. Batters are hitting just .228 against him outside of Arlington.
Houston Astros (Peacock)
There were low expectations for the Astros coming into this season and they haven't disappointed in that regard. They have the worst record (37-77) in the major leagues and have lost three in a row coming into tonight.
Brad Peacock's second year in the majors hasn't been so great, but maybe he'll be able to build on his latest start, which came six days ago in Minnesota.
The Astros may have still lost 3-2, but Peacock fired seven strong innings, surrendering four hits and three runs while fanning 10 batters.
Peacock picked up right where he left off in the minors. In his time in Triple A, he's looked very good for the Oklahoma City RedHawks, going 6-2 with a 2.73 ERA while striking out 76 batters in 79 innings.
In a very limited sample size, Peacock has allowed 12 hits and nine earned runs (four homers) in only 8 and 2/3 innings at Minute Maid Park this season, but after seemingly finding his best stuff again, will he able to give Houston some solid innings against a resurgent Rangers offense?
At 10-1 over their previous 11, how can we go against Texas for our MLB picks in this spot?
At times, the Astros have shown their prowess against lefties, but Holland has looked especially good over the last couple of months and this Rangers team knows how important each and every win is at this stage in the season.
We're not going to recommend a straight pick on the money-line because of the heavy chalk, and even the run-line option is getting juiced heavily (-130).
So where do we go with our sports picks? The UNDER is our preferred play for this game.
If you delve deeper into Peacock, you see he's been throwing very well in the minors and was able to carry that over against Minnesota. We think he'll do enough against Texas to keep this game's total relatively low, especially since we firmly believe Holland will be able to keep Houston quiet on the other side.
Pick: UNDER 8.5 at Bet 365