MLB Picks: Profitable Underdog Teams

Doug Upstone

Thursday, June 4, 2015 9:36 PM UTC

Thursday, Jun. 4, 2015 9:36 PM UTC

As this article was posted, make no mistake sportsbooks were well aware over 44 percent of road underdogs were winning and home underdogs were nearly dead even at 112-114.

If you have the resources to attack the MLB odds with great frequency on underdogs, there is money to be made, but you need to be able to have the bankroll for those rough periods, which will occur. Quite possibly a better way to profit might be to select the teams which have a proven track record on the season and as a baseball handicapper, maybe you don’t bet every one, but at least be aware when reviewing the betting odds and which squads you should be given consideration based on performance.

As we know when making sports picks, circumstances and situations can change quickly, making it imperative to pay attention, which you should be doing because if you are not looking out for cash nobody else will be.

Here are the teams that are the most profitable underdogs at this time and we talk about who has the ability to sustain it.


Twinkies Power in Minneapolis
All season the Twins almost daily surprise us by winning, which was not on the preseason agenda. Minnesota is largely the same cast of characters as a year ago with two notable exceptions. At 39 years old and few options, Torii Hunter returned to the Twin Cities and his professionalism and talent has infused Minnesota and they play with a calm and poise they did not previous.

New manager Paul Molitor has also been a big influence, taking a page from his Hall of Fame career which was highlighted by aggressiveness and effort, which he’s instilled into his team. As of June 4th, Minnesota is 27-18 as an underdog for a whopping profit of +15.60. The best way to maximize the usage of the Twins for MLB picks is in the +100 to +125 range, where they are a superlative 16-6.

Beginning June 8th, the schedule picks up, which will provide a very good test for this club.


Houston’s Formula is Doggone Good
Another squad that can comfortably wear the underdog hat is the Astros. Like Minnesota, expectations where rather low, though most understood Houston had several good young players, it was not supposed to come together this swiftly. For those of you who have heard of Earl Weaver, the famous Baltimore Orioles manager (if not Google it), Houston has taken a page out of his legendary career, depending on strong pitching and the three-run homer as they lead the AL West.

The Astros batting average is almost the worst in the American League, but thanks to being at least being average in the league in coaxing walks and leading in home runs, they score enough to compliment a pitching staff that ranks third in ERA in the AL.

Houston is 19-9 on the receiving end of improved odds, good for +13.2 units and they have done quite a bit of damage on the road with a 13-7 mark, but do not ignore the 6-2 record at home.

Honestly, the schedule is not imposing the next few weeks, thus when underdog roles appear, the Astros should be on the launching pad.


Rangers Riding High as Dogs
There must be something in the water in the Lone Star State because both Houston and Texas are cashing in as underdogs, with the Rangers up +11.5 units at places like GTBets, where the bonuses are strong and the lines are fair (not something you find everywhere).

However, the Rangers also have something in common with Minnesota. With very low expectations coming into the year, Texas and Minnesota have only been favored seven times. Where the Rangers have cleaned up is with an 8-4 record as +150 or higher underdogs.

One piece of advice when Texas hosts Minnesota the second weekend in June, take the underdog.

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