MLB Picks: Profit From The Yankees vs. Red Sox 3 Game Series

Willie Bee

Friday, April 29, 2016 1:07 PM UTC

Friday, Apr. 29, 2016 1:07 PM UTC

David Price is a solid favorite on the MLB odds Sunday night when he leads the Boston Red Sox against the New York Yankees in the series finale.


1st May
Yankees vs. Red Sox Game 3



Saturday night's overflow crowd at Fenway Park got to witness the most complete victory by the Boston Red Sox so far this season. Rick Porcello did the heavy lifting on the mound by hurling the first seven scoreless innings, David Ortiz popped his second homer of the series, and Jackie Bradley Jr. drove in three runs with a pair of triples and a double to paste an 8-0 final on the New York Yankees

Boston is now in position to sweep the Yankees out of town when the clubs conclude the first of six series on the 2016 slate between the old rivals under the bright lights of ESPN's Sunday Night Baseball (8:05 PM ET). Helping to make that seem a very likely outcome is the fact the Red Sox have their ace, David Price, on the hill against New York's Nathan Eovaldi. The MLB odds certainly expect Boston to finish off the broom job with the moneyline in the upper -150s. Bettors have some options on the total which is 7½ at some shops such as Bookmaker and 8 at others like Pinnacle.


Price Set For 31st Career Start Vs. Yankees
Eovaldi is coming off his best effort of the young season, firing seven shutout innings in Texas this past Monday to help the Yanks to a 3-1 victory. The outing was Eovaldi's second consecutive assignment not allowing a homer after serving up four in his first two starts, and he limited the Rangers to just two hits. The 26 year old faced the Red Sox three times a year ago, New York winning two of the games, but Boston batters did get to him for eight runs and 22 hits in the 17 innings.

Price will be getting his first taste of this rivalry, though he has faced the Yankees plenty going back to his days in Tampa Bay. Sunday will be his 31st career start vs. New York, and the former Vanderbilt star is 13-7 with a 4.03 ERA in more than 190 innings of work against the Bronx Bombers. Jacoby Ellsbury has had the most success against Price, batting .333 with seven extra base hits in 66 plate appearances.

Umpire Notes, Mother Nature & A Free Pick
Alan Porter has the task of calling balls and strikes in the only night game on Sunday's baseball betting card. It's his sixth plate assignment of 2016, three of the previous five going 'over' the totals. The Pennsylvania native was behind the dish at Fenway twice a year ago, each contest going comfortably 'over' the marks.

Showers are in the Boston forecast Sunday, and the chance of rain increases in the early evening. With New York's offense showing no signs of life, my free MLB pick will be a run-line play on Boston.

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Free MLB Pick: Red Sox -1½ (+155) 
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle Sports
Season: 18-12 (+7.35)


30th April
Yankees vs. Red Sox Game 2



No team in baseball will be happier to see David Ortiz finally hang 'em up than the New York Yankees. Big Papi's delivered again against the Yankees in Friday's series opener with a game-winning homer in the eighth, and the Boston Red Sox kept pace with the Baltimore Orioles in the AL East with a 4-2 triumph.

Silenced for seven innings, the Red Sox finally broke out in the seventh with a game-tying double by Jackie Bradley Jr., setting the stage for Ortiz's heroics. The stage is now set for Boston to guarantee a series victory Saturday evening as the favorite in Game 2. The MLB odds have the Red Sox favored in the -125 to -130 range behind righthander Rick Porcello, Michael Pineda his initial mound opponent. Pinnacle Sports is listing 8½ for the scoreboard hurdle, and slightly favoring the Under.


Porcello Can Finish April 5-0
Pineda's four outings up to now have resulted in two quality starts and two ugly efforts, the Yankees losing three of the games. The big Dominican is coming off one of the ugly ones, serving up four homers in five innings of an 8-1 defeat to Tampa Bay last Sunday. That's seven home runs Pineda has allowed already in 22.1 innings compared to 21 last year over 160+ frames. He has enjoyed some success in this rivalry, however, winning four of his six starts against the Red Sox with a 3.58 ERA.

Porcello will be looking to continue his fine April by earning his fifth win in as many starts this month. He started the home-&-home series with the Braves in Atlanta on Monday, pitching into the seventh with a string of zeroes in Boston's eventual 1-0 decision, and the most impressive stat so far is a 30/5 strikeout to walk ratio. Porcello has been tough on the Yanks since joining Boston in 2014, Boston splitting his four starts while the New Jersey native fashioned a 2.32 ERA in 31 innings.


Umpire Notes, Mother Nature & A Free Pick
An inconsistent strike zone is one reason I never like seeing Dan Iassogna's name listed to call balls and strikes, his penchant for being confrontational with players and managers who question his poor umpiring is another reason. He is working the plate for a fourth time in 2016, two of the previous three contests skipping 'over' the baseball odds. Iassogna is making his first appearance at Fenway in about two years, his three previous assignments on this diamond splitting the totals (1-1-1 O/U/P).

It's going to be another cool and cloudy evening in Boston where the thermometer will begin around 50º at game time before dropping into the 40s as the innings pile up. I can't trust Pineda right now, making my decision for a free MLB pick on the Sox easy.

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Free MLB Pick:  Red Sox -130
Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker
Season: 17-12 (+6.35)


29th April
Yankees vs. Red Sox Game 1


Several big sporting events take place in May, such as the Kentucky Derby and Preakness Stakes in horse racing, the French Open in tennis, plus both the Monaco Grand Prix and Indianapolis 500 in motor sports racing. What better way to begin a big month on the sports betting calendar than with the 116th annual renewal of the rivalry between the New York Yankees and Boston Red Sox?

The old foes begin the weekend series Friday night (7:10 PM ET) in Boston with a pitching matchup between Masahiro Tanaka and Henry Owens. Tanaka and the Yanks are light -110 favorites, and an 8½ is the total.

Friday's lid-lifter marks the 2,138th time Boston and New York have collided on a diamond, the Yankees owning a 1,161-962 advantage in previous meetings with 14 more games suspended and going into the record books as ties. New York has won three of the past four season series, taking 23 of the last 38 get-togethers.

The Yankees did most of their winning at Fenway in the rivalry a year ago, emerging victorious in seven of the nine tilts and winning all three series in Beantown. 'Under' bettors also did well when the clubs played in Boston last season, six of the nine contests falling short of the totals.


Neither Pitcher Much Of A Mystery In Rivalry
One of the few 'over' winners at Fenway Park in 2015 came in early September and started as a battle between Tanaka and Owens. The Yankees closed around -140 on the MLB odds for that game, and brought home the cheddar in a 13-8 slugfest that featured six home runs, five of the clouts off New York bats. The pinstripe posse chased Owens from his sixth major league start with a big 8-run second inning while Tanaka worked into the seventh having allowed half of Boston's runs.

Owens made his big league debut in the Bronx just about a month before that matchup, and took the loss in that clash that was also one-sided, the Yankees coasting to a 13-3 decision. The lanky lefty pitched into the sixth and left with his side only trailing 3-2 before the Boston bullpen fell apart. He's in the rotation now for Joe Kelly, and was wild in his first start last weekend in Houston where he walked four and allowed three runs in 3.1 innings.

Tanaka is climbing the hill for the fifth time in 2016, New York winning his last three assignments after dropping the season-opener vs. Houston at home. The righthander is coming off a solid effort at home last Saturday against the Rays, going seven frames and whiffing seven would-be Tampa Bay relievers in an eventual 3-2 walk-off Yankees triumph. Boston has had some success against him in seven starts (NY 4-3), reaching him for eight homers in 40.1 innings, Tanaka pitching to a 5.13 ERA in those games, 6.46 when he's on the Fenway bump.


Cooler Temps Than Normal In Weekend Forecast
New York arrives in Boston in the middle of a 3-city tour, starting the road trip by losing two of three at Texas. The Yankees had Thursday off and are bringing up the rear of the AL East, four games below .500 and 4½ behind the division-leading Baltimore Orioles. The Red Sox played a home-&-home series with the Atlanta Braves this week, winning the first three contests before dropping the finale in Boston Thursday evening.

We'll keep our eye on the weather the entire series, and right now it looks fine except for cooler than normal temps. First pitch tonight should come under clear skies and the thermometer in the mid-to-upper 40s. I'm expecting a lot of pitches this evening to get squared up by the batters, which is why I'm beginning the set with a free MLB pick on the total going past the mark.

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Free MLB Pick: Over 8½ +105
Best Line Offered: at BetOnline
Season Record : 17-11 (+7.35)

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