MLB Picks: Pitching Matchup Favors Red Sox As Mariners' Underachieving Season Leaves Them With Little Post-Season Action

Rick Porcello

Joe Gavazzi

Wednesday, August 3, 2016 8:38 PM UTC

Wednesday, Aug. 3, 2016 8:38 PM UTC

With our easy 10-4 run line winner with Washington last night, our faithful MLB followers note that we are 10-5 in MLB selections since the All Star Break with profit of $570 for players who risk $100 on each selection. Here is yet another winner for you MLB picks.

Boston Red Sox (Porcello) vs. Seattle Mariners (Iwakuma)
Red Sox and Mariners take to the field for the 3rd of this 4-game, early week set. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 ET. The teams have split the first 2 games of the series with the Red Sox winning Monday night before Seattle returned the favor with a 5-4 win on Tuesday. I like the pitching matchup favoring the Red Sox and the fact they continue to be in the role of hunter (trail Baltimore and Toronto in the division race), while Seattle languishes around .500 and is 8 games behind Texas in the division with Houston in between.  

As the days begin to pass in August, it becomes painfully clear to Seattle that their underachieving season leaves them with little hope for post-season action. This remains a bit puzzling to me, as the Mariners have the 8th best batting OPS at .762 and the 10th best relief corps at .693. In fairness, it is the starting pitching that has let them down this season. Included in that has been the work of today’s starter, Iwakuma, who has posted a 4.21 ERA this season. He was on a nice mid-season run before busting his last time out. In a 5-0 loss to the Cubs, Iwakuma was blasted for 5 runs on 8 hits in only 3 IP. Normally, a bounce back might be considered. But with the Iwakuma history against the Red Sox, that is improbable. In 5 appearances against the Sox, Iwakuma has an 8.95 ERA that includes a whopping 14.17 ERA in 2 outings against Boston from this mound. 

The Red Sox continue to have the best OPS batting number in baseball at .827 (far ahead of Colorado who, even though playing half their games at Coors, has a .783 OPS). With a mediocre relief corps ranked No. 11 with a .694 OPS, it now appears Boston’s fortunes will be tied to their starting pitchers. With an MLB leading 14-2 record, Porcello seems to fit the bill. He is 8-0 recently with a 2.97 ERA, as well as a perfect 3-0 when starting from this mound. 

We make this play on the MONEY LINE, but note that for aggressive players, they may consider making part or all of their play on the run line, knowing that 46 of 58 Boston victories, including 20 of 24 on the road have come by 2 or more runs. I invite you to put the MLB odds in your favor and join me in my MLB pick on the Boston Red Sox tonight.


Free MLB Pick: Red Sox -113
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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