The starting pitching matchup in baseball is one of the more important angles in sports handicapping, which is why it’s important to find out which players are creating a profit heading into the Dog Days of Summer.
Patrick Corbin, Arizona Diamondbacks (14-1, +1,257)
The second-year starter is a big reason why the Diamondbacks sit atop the National League West standings by three games over the Colorado Rockies and San Diego Padres. He has compiled a perfect 9-0 record and 2.19 ERA in 15 starts.
Corbin has already thrown 102.2 innings this season (107 IP in 2012), which is why I’ll be looking to play against him after the MLB All-Star Game.
Jeanmar Gomez, Pittsburgh Pirates (8-0, +1,024)
The right-hander is making it work in his first season in the Steel City, as he’s put together a 2-0 record and 2.76 ERA in 13 appearances (eight starts). He’ll likely serve as a long reliever and spot starter for Pittsburgh down the stretch.
I’m not expecting much from Gomez from here on out, as National League hitters will start to figure him out after spending his first three seasons with the Cleveland Indians in the Junior Circuit.
Jordan Zimmerman, Washington Nationals (13-3, +967)
MLB handicappers have really gotten to know the right-hander well in 2013, as he’s overshadowed their other ace, Stephen Strasburg.
The right-hander has done his best work at Nationals Park—putting together an 8-0 record and 1.09 ERA, with opposing hitters batting just .186 against him.
Zimmerman might be a play against in the final three months of the season, as he possesses a 4.07 career ERA after the All-Star break.
Clay Buchholz, Boston Red Sox (11-1, +942)
After experiencing irritation in his neck during a recent bullpen, Buchholz will likely be shelved until middle of next month, which could lead to a disappointing second half of the season.
The right-hander is 3-6 with a 4.21 ERA in 13 July starts—a money-making opportunity to play against him as a favorite when he returns.
Bartolo Colon, Oakland Athletics (12-3, +916)
The 40-year-old has shown no signs of slowing down, as he’s put together a 10-2 record and 2.93 ERA in 15 starts, while walking just 12 batters in 98.1 innings.
I recommended backing him at home under the lights for your MLB picks, which has been his best situation during the 2013 campaign.
Jason Marquis, San Diego Padres (11-5, +870)
A money maker when pitching at Petco Park, which is why he’ll likely stay in the Padres’ rotation the rest of the year.
The right-hander has also performed well on the road—putting together a 3-1 record and 3.49 ERA in five efforts.
I’d be cautious in backing him in the next couple months, as he’s made just 13 combined starts after the Midsummer Classic the previous two seasons.
Chris Tillman, Baltimore Orioles (12-4, +830)
One of the best pitchers in baseball since 2012, and should continue to benefit from plenty of run support from a potent offense in Baltimore.
The right-hander has led the Orioles to victory in his last seven starts, as the team has scored 54 runs over that span.
Tillman has put up some solid numbers on the road against American League East opponents and agaisnt the baseball betting odds, but look to fade him on the hill in the Bronx, as he’s gone 2-2 with a 9.95 ERA in five starts at the new Yankee Stadium.