MLB Picks: Pirates-Padres to Light Up Scoreboard as Locke & Despaigne Take the Mounds

Ross Benjamin

Sunday, May 31, 2015 12:51 PM UTC

Sunday, May. 31, 2015 12:51 PM UTC

Our MLB betting consultant covers tonight’s game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and San Diego Padres. Can San Diego gain a split in this four game series by winning on Sunday?

Pirates and Padres Series Finale on Sunday Night
The Padres host the Pirates in the finale of a four game series on Sunday at 9:10 PM ET. According to MLB odds, Pittsburgh is a -114 money line favorite, and the posted total is 7.0. Pittsburgh has won two of the first three games in this series.

MLB Picks: Formula for Success= Low WHIP + Solid Winning %

Starting Pitchers
The Pirates Jeff Locke will make his tenth start of the season tonight. The southpaw has posted a lofty 4.70 ERA so far in 2015. Locke has displayed shaky form over his previous three starts with a 4.69 ERA and 1.70 WHIP. He’s really struggled in three road starts this season, compiling a large 8.10 ERA, and a mammoth 2.10 WHIP.

Odrisamer Despaigne will take the mound on Sunday for the Padres. After enduring terrible outings in his first two starts of the season, Despaigne has settled down in his last two outings. During those most recent two starts he allowed just 2 earned runs in 12.0 innings pitched, and struck out 9 while walking only 2. This will be his first career start versus Pittsburgh.


Final Analysis
The Pirates are averaging 6.1 runs per game in their last eight outings, and have also amassed 10 hits or more in seven of those previous eight. Since the start of the 2014 season, Pirates starter Jeff Locke has gone 10-1 over the total on the road, and those eleven contests averaged a combined 10.7 runs per game, and that includes 8-0 when the number is 7.0 to 8.5.

The Padres are 8-3 over the total in 2015 when facing a southpaw starting pitcher, and averaged 5.2 runs per game in the process. San Diego is 30-20-1 over the total in 2015, and that includes 21-10 when they’re installed at +125 to -125 on the money line. The Padres are averaging 5.1 runs per game in their previous seven overall. I’m leaning toward this being a high scoring affair for one of my MLB picks on Sunday.

MLB Picks: Play on the Pirates and Padres to go over the total of 7.0 at 5Dimes.

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