MLB Picks: Pirates-Orioles Features An Underrated Pitching Matchup

Kevin Gausman

Tuesday, June 6, 2017 1:41 PM GMT

Kevin Gausman has had his struggles this season for the Baltimore Orioles as he gets the start today taking on the Pittsburgh Pirates. Looking at his matchups this season though, he has faced some of the better hitting teams in baseball. 

Pittsburgh Pirates

Ivan Nova takes the mound for Pittsburgh and comes in with a 2.92 ERA and 1.08 whip. This seems to be a little bit of a resurgent year for him and I like for him to come in and have a good enough start to keep the Orioles somewhat in check. On the road this year he has been decent with a 3.09 ERA but I am a little concerned about the fact that batters are hitting .262 against him when he travels. Offensively Pittsburgh remains in the bottom third of the league in most categories hitting just .241 as a team, averaging 4.16 runs per game, and only garnering 8.19 hits as well ranks them 23rd, 24th, and 22nd in the league respectively. They also have some really poor power numbers and currently rank 26th in both total bases and OPS. Don’t look for them to suddenly break out the bats today against a pitcher that is due for a good start.

 Baltimore Orioles

Kevin Gausman gets the start for Baltimore and comes in with an eye-popping 5.92 ERA and 1.84 whip. These numbers are well above his career 4.20 ERA and 1.35 whip. On closer examination of his games this year he has had to face some of the toughest hitting teams in all of baseball. In seven of his 10 starts he had to face the New York Yankees twice, Boston Red Sox twice, Houston Astros, Washington Nationals, and Cincinnati Reds, all five of these teams rank in the top five offensively across the board in most categories. In his opportunities to face lesser hitting teams he definitely has not pitched as well as he is capable of but I like for him to have a quality start today against this light hitting Pittsburgh team. At the plate Baltimore has been decent this season hitting .254 as a team which ranks them 12th in major league baseball. Still, they rank in the bottom third in run production and despite having some good sluggers in the lineup they are outside the top half of all teams in OPS.

 

MLB Odds

Oddsmakers have come out making the total of this game at 9 and for my MLB pick, I will back under the total. Nova has had a good season so far and I look for Gausman to get back to form with a good quality home start.

Free MLB Pick: Under 9Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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