MLB Picks: Phillies vs. Rockies Odds & Predictions

Darin Zank

Sunday, June 16, 2013 2:11 PM UTC

Sunday, Jun. 16, 2013 2:11 PM UTC

The Phillies and Rockies, after splitting the first two games of a three-game weekend series at Coors Field, get to play a rubber match Sunday afternoon (4:10 pm ET).

Which way might the money fall on this game? We investigate the betting odds, because we care.

Sunday's MLB Betting Odds

Most books we consulted Sunday morning opened Colorado with Jhoulys Chacin at around -115 over Philly and Cole Hamels, with a total o f 9.5 runs. Most books then also dropped the Rockies to around -110. 

Sunday's Game Set-Up

Philly stole Friday's series opener 8-7, rallying from a 7-2 deficit with three runs in the sixth inning and three more in the seventh. Colorado then answered Saturday night with a six-run first inning, on its way to a 10-5 victory.

Both those games played OVER on the totals.

At 36-33 Colorado sits in a tie for second place in the NL West, a game and a half back of first-place Arizona.

At 33-36 Philly occupies third place in the NL East, 7.5 games back of first-place Atlanta.

Sunday's Pitching Match-Up

Chacin (4-3, 4.52), b y our strict standards, in only 4/12 on quality starts this season, and 0 for his last three. Last time out he held Washington to two runs through five innings, but we don't credit him with a QS because he didn't go at least six innings. 

In his two previous starts he got nicked for 10 runs and 16 hits through 11 1/3 innings against the Dodgers and Padres.

On the season Chacin has given up 72 hits in 71 2/3 innings, but owns a rather mediocre K/BB ratio of  45/24. The Rockies are 6-6 in his starts.

This will be Chacin's first start against Philadelphia since holding them to one run in seven innings of a 4-3 Colorado loss back in August of 2011.  

Hamels (2-9, 4.45) is a solid 9/13 on quality starts this season, and two for his last two. But four bad outings have skewed his numbers a bit, and the Phillies haven't give him much help in the form of run support Last time out he held the Twins to two runs through six innings, and just before that he gave up one run through seven innings against the Marlins, striking out 11. 

On the season Hamels has allowed 85 hits in 87 innings, walked 26 and struck out 82. But Philly is just 2-12 in Hamels' starts this year, thanks in part to losses by scores of 2-1, 4-3, 2-0, 2-0, 2-1 and 3-2. 

This will be Hamels' first start against Colorado this year; last year, in three starts vs. the Rockies, Hamels gave up just five ER through 23 innings; Philly won all three of those games. 

Colorado's bullpen ranks 13th in the Majors with a 3.43 ERA but has blown nine of 22 save opportunities; Philly's pen ranks 28th with a 4.42 ERA but has converted 14 of 19 save opps.

Phillies-Rockies Betting Trends

Colorado, which is three games over .500 overall this season, is just 9-15 against left-handed starting pitchers.

Philly is 28-29 this season against righties.

The OVER/UNDERS are a dead-even 19-19 in games played at Coors Field this season.

Injury Update

The Rockies are playing without SS Troy Tulowitzki, who's on the DL with a broken rib, and OF Dexter Fowler has missed the last two games with a sore hand. However, Colorado has managed to score 17 runs in two games without those guys.

Philly, meanwhile, is still playing without Chase Utley and Carlos Ruiz, who are both on the DL with various ailments.


Our Take on Sunday's Game

Hamels has been pitching in some tough luck this season, and has had recent success against Colorado. On top of that Chacin has struggled lately, and the Rockies have had a tough time against lefties this season. So we'll go with the Phillies for our free MLB pick for Sunday.

Pick: Take Philly at the +105 offered at BET 365.

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