MLB Picks: Phillies vs. Marlins Game 2 of 3

Jeff Grant

Wednesday, July 2, 2014 1:48 PM UTC

Wednesday, Jul. 2, 2014 1:48 PM UTC

Cole Hamels has been throwing the ball well during the 2014 season, but the Philadelphia Phillies will fail to support him offensively against the Miami Marlins Wednesday night.  Let’s take a closer look at the MLB betting lines for this National League East showdown.

Lack of production
Philadelphia is mired in a five-game losing streak due to scoring just 12 runs in that span, including a 5-4 defeat to Miami as +129 road underdogs Tuesday, while going over the betting total of 7.5. The Phillies will need outfielder Marlon Byrd to up his production even more at the plate, as he’s hitting .400 with three home runs over his last seven contests.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the Philadelphia Phillies are 20-23 on the road with a money line of -100 to -125.

Not a sure thing
Miami hasn’t won back-to-back games since June 10, but it has managed to tally 14 comeback victories in 2014—seven in walk-off fashion. The Marlins are always capable of outscoring foes with outfielder Giancarlo Stanton in the lineup, especially since he’s gone 11 for 22 in his last six games in this rivalry. 

MLB handicappers will find that the squad is 8-6 as home underdogs of +100 to +125, with the 'over' going 8-3-3 in that situation.

Phillies starting pitcher Cole Hamels (2-4, 2.84 ERA) didn’t earn a decision in a 5-3 home win over the Marlins last time out, as he allowed three runs and six hits over seven innings of work. The left-hander is 1-2 with a 1.71 ERA in six road appearances—serving up a single round tripper in 42 combined frames. In 31 lifetime outings versus the Marlins, Hamels has produced a 9-12 record and 3.20 ERA, including a 2-2 mark and 2.25 ERA in seven appearances at this ballpark.

Marlins starting pitcher Tom Koehler (5-6, 3.70 ERA) has watched the team fall in defeat in his last three trips to the mound, including a setback when facing Hamels last time out at Citizens Bank Park—giving up two runs and seven hits over six frames. The right-hander is 3-3 with a 3.06 ERA in eight home starts, with opposing hitters batting just .205 against him (.256 on the road). In four career appearances (two starts) in this divisional rivalry, Koehler is 0-1 with a 5.93 ERA.

I’m going to recommend that readers back the Marlins as one of their MLB picks, as they’ve won 11 of their last 15 home games versus left-handed starters.

Free MLB Pick: Miami Marlins

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