MLB Picks: Phillies vs. Indians Odds & Analysis

Jeff Grant

Wednesday, May 1, 2013 1:20 PM GMT

Phillies starting pitcher Cliff Lee has put up some spectacular numbers with umpire Jim Reynolds behind home plate recently. Can he continue the trend against the Cleveland Indians tonight.


Let’s take a closer look at the  MLB betting odds  for this interleague affair at Progressive Field, with the first pitch scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET.

Blown away

Philadelphia had its three-game winning streak snapped Tuesday, as it suffered a 14-2 series-opening loss to Cleveland as -110 road favorites, while going well OVER the betting total of 8.

The Phillies are 8-3 after allowing 10 runs or more the last two-plus seasons, with the UNDER going 5-4-2 in that situation.

Bombs away

Cleveland ranks tied for second in baseball in hitting 36 home runs this season, with seven of them coming last night, while the club has scored 33 runs over its last 26 innings.

The Indians are 5-6 against left-handed starters during the 2013 MLB season, with the UNDER going 6-4-1 in those 11 opportunities.

Check out my MLB Insider Report for valueable tidbits!

Lee

Phillies starting pitcher Cliff Lee (2-1, 3.03 ERA) has watched the club drop his last three efforts after starting the season with back-to-back victories, including a 6-4 home defeat last time out, as he allowed three runs and 10 hits over seven frames.

The left-hander is 1-0 with a 1.20 ERA in two road starts, with opposing batters hitting just .140 against him, while failing to serve up a home run in 15 combined frames.

Bauer

Indians starting pitcher Trevor Bauer (0-1, 5.40 ERA) will make his sixth MLB appearance (second with his current team), as he suffered a 6-0 road loss to the Tampa Bay Rays on April 6, allowing three runs and issuing seven walks in five innings.

The right-hander is expected to become one of the better throwers in the game, considering he was selected with the third overall pick in the 2011 MLB draft by the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Tribe’s bullpen is ready 

I believe the key to handicapping this matchup when looking over the pro baseball odds is the Indians bullpen, as the group has compiled a fantastic 1.30 ERA over its last 10 games.

If Bauer gets in trouble early, first year manager Terry Francona has a rested group to pick up the pieces, while Philadelphia has been known to underperform offensively with Lee on the hill.

[gameodds]3/225914/43-999997-192/us[/gameodds]

Prediction

I’m going to recommend that readers play the total in this matchup for their MLB picks. Lee has thrown 16 scoreless innings and struck out 23 batters in his last two efforts with umpire Jim Reynolds behind the dish, while the UNDER is 22-13-3 in the Tribe’s last 38 games against NL opponents.

MLB Pick: Under 8 at Bet 365

Don't forget to educate yourself on a great five inning play with the Red Sox and Blue Jays!