Oddsmakers have listed the Diamondbacks as -125 money line favorites at home, while posting a total of 8 runs, laying -115 on the under.
First pitch in this one is set to be thrown at 9:40 pm ET from Chase Field in Phoenix, so let’s take a closer look at the MLB odds and determine where the value lies in this National League matchup.
Phillies Continue To Struggle
Philadelphia is three games under .500 for the season, with a 16-19 overall record, including 8-9 on the road. However, they have performed exceptional well against the NL West Division, going an impressive 7-1 in their last 8 against those opponents.
The Phillies have also taken four of the last five against the Diamondbacks at Chase Field.
D’Backs Not So Sweet At Home
Arizona is 19-15 overall this season, but they have not capitalized on their home field, winning and dropping 8 games a piece at Chase Field in 16 opportunities this season.
However, the Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last four games played at home when Patrick Corbins is the team’s starter, as is the case in tonight’s matchup.
Cole Hamels (1-4, 4.34 ERA) will toe the rubber in this one for the Phillies, but Philadelphia is winless in the lefty’s last four starts on the highway when facing a team with a winning record.
That said, Philadelphia has won six of Hamels’ last seven starts against the Diamondbacks.
Arizona will counter with a lefty of their own by trotting out Patrick Corbin (4-0, 1.80) to the mound, who will be making his first career start against the Phillies.
The Diamondbacks are 6-0 in their last six games when Corbin pitches as the favorite.
The last five meetings in Arizona between these adversaries have gone over the posted total.
Hamels seems to have Arizona’s number, so backing Philadelphia as underdogs, who is a better team than their record indicates should cash in a winning ticket for bettors tonight.
MLB Free Pick: Phillies +115 at the Greek
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