MLB Picks: Phillies Losing Streak Will Undoubtedly Continue Against Nationals

Darin Zank

Friday, April 17, 2015 2:08 PM UTC

Friday, Apr. 17, 2015 2:08 PM UTC

Washington took Game 1 of this series Thursday night 5-2, sending hapless Philly to its fifth loss in a row. Do we predict more misery for the Phillies Friday night?

Phillies-Nats Game 1 Review
Washington won Thursday night's series opener 5-2, getting a quality start from Doug Fister and home runs from Michael Taylor and Yunel Escobar.

Meanwhile, Philly starter Cole Hamels gave up five runs in six innings, walking four and getting nicked for those two homers. On the season Hamels has now allowed seven home runs through 18 innings of work.

The Nats won Thursday as -135 favorites on the MLB odds, and the game, to our dismay, sneaked OVER its total of 6.5 runs. That OVER was helped by a Taylor error that led to one Phillies run, and a Hamels balk that led to a Washington tally.

The Nats scored a total of 17 runs through their first seven games this season; now, they've scored 22 runs over their last three games.

Philly, on the other hand, ranks dead last in the Majors in scoring so far at a pathetic 2.4 runs per game.

Here's another look at tonight's Phillies vs. Nationals game

Game 2 Betting Odds
The line on tonight's game is the biggest we've seen so far this season. As of early Friday morning the best price we could find on Washington with Max Scherzer was the -237 offered at Pinnacle, while Philly and Sean O'Sullivan were getting +222 at Heritage.

Pinnacle was also offering the Nationals at +101 giving the run and a half on the run line.

And most of Friday's MLB betting market was listing the total on this game at seven runs.


Friday's Starters
This pitching match-up is a rematch of last Sunday, a 4-3 Washington extra-innings victory.

Scherzer will be making his third start for his new team; back on Opening Day he held the Mets to three unearned runs through 7 2/3 innings, walking two while whiffing eight, although the Nats lost that game 3-1. He then held these Phillies to one run through six innings, with two walks and eight strikeouts, of that 4-3 Washington victory last Sunday.

Last year, pitching for Detroit, Scherzer went 21-for-33 on quality starts; the Tigers went 24-9 in those starts, with the totals leaning toward the UNDERS by an 18-15 margin.

O'Sullivan will be making his second start of this season, after holding these Nationals to two runs on five hits through six innings of that 4-3 Phillies loss last Sunday. O'Sullivan threw 91 pitches in that game, 58 for strikes, and walked just one batter, while striking out five.

Last year, pitching at Triple-A Lehigh Valley, O'Sullivan went 6-10 with a 4.31 ERA, giving up 154 hits in 148 innings, posting an unimpressive K/BB ratio of 94/50. In bits and pieces of six ML seasons O'Sullivan is 10-17 with a 5.84 ERA, and a K/BB ratio of 115/90.

This will be O'Sullivan's first-ever start against Washington.


Phillies-Nats Game 2 Pick
This looks like a mismatch, and the odds makers agree. There's just no way we can recommend an MLB pick on a single baseball game at a price like that. But we are catching the Washington bats at a good time, so we'll take a chance and go with the home team on the run line for tonight.

Free MLB Pick: Washington -1.5, +101 on the run line at Pinnacle

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