MLB Picks: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves

Jeff Grant

Monday, June 16, 2014 1:02 PM UTC

Monday, Jun. 16, 2014 1:02 PM UTC

The Atlanta Braves have had their way with the Philadelphia Phillies when playing at home dating back to last season, which will lead to an easy series-opening victory Monday night. Let’s take a closer look at the MLB betting odds for this matchup.

Difficult Stretch Ahead
Philadelphia went 4-2 on its recently completed homestand against the Chicago Cubs and San Diego Padres, but now it gets set to play 32 of its next 35 games versus teams with a .500 or better record.

The Phillies are 7-4 as road underdogs of +100 to +125 during the 2014 campaign, but they’ve dropped eight of their last 11 games at this ballpark dating back to last season.

It’s important to point out that the franchise is 10-14 versus division opponents this year.

All About the Long Ball
Atlanta has alternated wins and losses over its last four games, as it looks to build off a 7-3 victory over the Los Angeles Angels as -118 home favorites on ESPN’s Sunday Night Baseball broadcast.

The Braves are a dominating 25-12 when hitting a home run this season, while producing a lowly 10-20 mark when failing to leave the ballpark.

MLB handicappers will find that the club is 39-23 as home favorites of -125 to -150 dating back to the start of the 2012 season.

Phillies starting pitcher Cole Hamels (2-3, 3.07 ERA) has led the club to back-to-back wins, but he didn’t factor into the decision of a 3-0 home victory over the San Diego Padres last week.

The left-hander is 1-1 with a 1.95 ERA in four road efforts—serving up just a single home run in 27.2 combined frames.

In 31 lifetime appearances (30 starts) versus the Braves, Hamels has produced a 14-8 record and 3.54 ERA.

Braves starting pitcher Julio Teheran (6-4, 2.41 ERA) allowed a career-worst seven runs and 10 hits in an 8-2 road defeat to the Colorado Rockies last time out.

The right-hander entered that affair with a MLB-leading 1.89 ERA, while he’s gone 2-1 with a 1.24 ERA in seven efforts at this ballpark.

Teheran has put together a 2-2 record and 3.90 ERA in five career outings (four starts) versus the Phillies.

I’m going to recommend that readers back the Braves as one of their MLB picks, as they’ve captured seven of Teheran’s last eight home starts.
MLB Betting Pick:  Atlanta Braves 

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