By: Ron Patrick
Sunday's Game Three
LA has won the first two games of this series, after squeaking out a 2-1 victory Saturday night. The Dodgers scored once in the seventh and once in the eighth to rally from down 1-0.
Los Angeles won as a -160 favorite Saturday, and the game played UNDER its total of 7.5.
The Dodgers also added another veteran bat to their arsenal when they traded for former Ranger and Phillie Michael Young Saturday.
So, LA has the brooms at the ready heading into Game 3 of this series Sunday afternoon (4:10 pm ET).
Sunday's Betting Lines
As of Sunday AM, most sportsbooks were chalking Los Angeles and Zack Greinke at around -250 over San Diego and Tyler Ross, with a total of seven.
Sunday's Pitching Match-Up
Greinke (13-3, 2.86) is 13-for-22 on quality start this year, and working on a string of six in a row. Most recently he held the Cubs to two runs through 8 2/3 innings, and over his last six starts he's allowed just seven ER through 43 2/3 innings.
For the season Greinke has given up 126 hits in 141 2/3 innings, walked 39 and struck out 112.
And he's been a good-luck charm for LA, which is 18-4 in Greinke's starts this season.
In two starts earlier this year against the Padres Greinke allowed three ER and nine hits in 13 innings; the Dodgers won both those games.
Ross (3-7, 3.05) is 5-for-10 on quality starts this year, but 0 for his last two. Last time out he gave up four runs in six innings vs. Arizona, and just before that he allowed four runs in 6 1/3 innings vs. Pittsburgh. However, just prior to that he had run off a string of five QS in a row.
On the season, which includes 19 appearances in relief, Ross has allowed 74 hits in 91 1/3 innings, walked 35 and whiffed 82.
San Diego is 4-6 in Ross' starts this year.
In three appearances against Los Angeles this season Ross has given up four ER and 12 hits through 10 innings.
Our Take on Sunday's Game
We took a shot with the underdog Padres Saturday, and just missed. But that was probably San Diego's best chance to take a game in this series. Greinke has been on one of those rolls he gets on, while the Padres are seriously banged up. So, we like Los Angeles for Sunday. But we also like to gamble, so we'll go with the Dodgers on the run line for our free MLB pick for today.
NFL Pick: Take LA giving the run and a half at the -104 offered at Pinnacle.
By: Ron Patrick
LA took Game 1 of this series Friday night 9-2, banging out 13 hits, eight for extra-bases, to back up a quality outing from starter Hyun-Jin Ryu.
The Dodgers won as -205 favorites on Friday's MLB betting board, and the game played OVER its total of seven.
Los Angeles also, to our delight, covered on the run line at a price of +110.
The Dodgers look for a third-straight victory when the teams meet for the second game of this series Saturday night (9:10 pm ET).
Saturday's Betting Odds
As of Saturday AM most baseball books were listing Los Angeles and Chris Capuano at around -160 over San Diego and Andrew Cashner, with a total of 7.5.
Saturday's Pitching Match-Up
Capuano (4-7, 4.74) is just 6-for-18 on quality starts this season, and 0 for his last four. Last time out he gave up three runs in five innings against Boston, and over his last four starts he's allowed 15 ER and 32 hits in 19 1/3 innings.
On the season Cappy has given up 115 hits in 95 innings, walked 22 and struck out 69.
But thanks in large part to the Dodgers' recent surge – they've now won 49 of their last 62 games – they're 10-8 in Capuano's starts this year, and 7-1 over his last eight outings.
Over two starts and two relief appearances this season against San Diego Capuano has allowed five ER and 11 hits in 9 2/3 innings.
Cashner (8-8, 3.55) is 11-for-22 on quality starts this year, and working on a streak of three in a row. Most recently he held the Cubs scoreless on two hits through seven innings, and over his last three starts he's allowed just four ER through 21 innings. So he's been going pretty good as of late.
For the season Cashner has given up 132 hits in 144 1/3 innings, with 43 walks and 100 strikeouts.
San Diego, a team that's 14 games under .500, is 11-11 in Cashner's starts.
In his one start earlier this year against the Dodgers Cashner was super, allowing just one run and five hits in eight innings of a game the Padres eventually lost 3-1. Cashner also made three relief appearances vs. LA back in April, giving up two runs in 4 2/3 innings.
Dont forget to check out my other series picks regarding the Cardinals & Pirates~
Our Take on Saturday's Game
We give Cashner the edge in the pitching match-up, and San Diego, 14 games under .500 overall, is 24-23 against left-handed starters this year. So while it's tough for us to go against a team as hot as the Dodgers we'll take a chance and go with the underdog Padres for our free MLB pick for Saturday.
By: Ron Patrick
The LA Dodgers are still rolling, although they've slowed just a bit recently. Then again, nobody can play .800 ball for very long.
In a match-up of a first-place team that's likely to be heavily favored over a fourth-place team, how should we bet this series?
Friday's Padres-Dodgers Betting Lines
As of Friday AM most baseball books were listing Los Angeles and Hyun-Jin Ryu at around -215 over San Diego and Eric Stults, with a total of seven.
Also, TheGreek.com was chalking the Dodgers at -300 to win this series, with the underdog Pads getting +240.
Padres-Dodgers Series Set-Up
LA just took two of three games at home from the Cubs, winning Wednesday's rubber match 4-0. So the Dodgers have won 15 of their last 18 series, splitting two, and 48 of their last 61 games.
San Diego, meanwhile, just dropped two of three games in Arizona, avoiding the sweep with a 5-1 victory Wednesday. The Padres have lost five of their last seven series, splitting one, and dropped 13 of their last 21 games.
So heading into the weekend the Dodgers lead the NL West by 9.5 games over second-place Arizona. LA is also tied with St. Louis in the race for the best record in the National League, three games behind Atlanta.
San Diego, on the other hand, is 18 games back of the Dodgers and 14.5 games behind Cincinnati in the battle for the second National League wild-card spot.
The Padres actually lead the season series with the Dodgers seven games to six, with the totals, surprisingly, going 8-4-1.
Friday's Pitching Match-Up
Ryu (12-5, 3.08) is 15-for-25 on quality starts this season, and three for his last four. Most recently Ryu gave up four runs in five innings against Boston, but in his three starts previous to that he had allowed just four ER over 21 1/3 innings.
On the season the South Korean import has given up 150 hits in 160 2/3 innings, walked 45 and whiffed 133.
Ryu is also 6-2 with a 2.12 ERA at Dodger Stadium this year.
LA is 17-8 in Ryu's starts this season.
This will be Ryu's first-ever start against San Diego.
Fellow lefty Stults (8-11, 3.72), who began his career with the Dodgers, is 13-for-27 on quality starts this year, but by our strict standards 0 for his last three. Last time out he gave up three runs in 6 1/3 innings against the Cubs, and over his last three outings he's allowed 11 ER through 17 2/3 innings.
For the season Stults has given up 175 hits in 169 1/3 innings, walked 37 and struck out 106.
San Diego, a team that's 13 games under .500 overall, is 14-13 in Stults' starts this year.
But Stults is only 3-8 with a 4.93 ERA on the road this season.
In three starts this year against the Dodgers Stults has allowed nine ER and 23 hits through 18 innings; the Padres lost two of those three games.
In the battle between the bullpens for this series LA ranks 13th with a 3.56 ERA and has made good on 39 of 56 save opportunities, while San Diego ranks 11th with a 3.38 ERA and is 31-for-41 on save chances.
Padres-Dodgers With the Sticks
San Diego ranks 23rd in the Majors with a .310 team OBP, 23rd in homers with 120, seventh in stolen bases with 97 but 25th in scoring at 3.9 runs per game.
LA ranks sixth in team OBP at .328, 26th in homers with 106 and 16th in scoring at 4.0 RPG.
Padres-Dodgers Betting Trends
LA is 23 games above .500 overall this year, but only 23-21 vs. left-handed starters.
San Diego is 13 games under .500, but 24-22 vs. lefties.
The Dodgers are 40-28 at home this season.
The Padres are 24-41 on the road this year.
The OVER/UNDERS are 33-32 in games played at Dodger Stadium this season, but totals on Dodgers home games are regularly among the lowest listed of the daily MLB betting lines.
San Diego is already playing without Carlos Quentin and Everth Cabrera, and Chase Headley is questionable for this weekend with a sore back.
LA, meanwhile, is still playing without Matt Kemp, but his absence hasn't seemed to matter too much, considering the Dodgers are 47-24 this year without him.
Our Take on Friday's Game
The Dodgers are the obvious choice here. Ryu gets the edge in the pitching match-up, and he'll be at an added advantage in that Padres hitters haven't faced him before; and while LA is still rolling, San Diego is playing out the string. But that price is a bit steep for our taste. So in sticking with a recent betting trend that has served us fairly well we'll go with the Dodgers on the run line for our free MLB pick for Friday.