MLB Picks: Overvalued Teams Ready to Burst

Doug Upstone

Tuesday, June 17, 2014 5:12 PM GMT

Tuesday, Jun. 17, 2014 5:12 PM GMT

Need to make some money quick? Consider using your MLB picks against the three teams I have listed below. Each is setup for failure, given their recent play and collectively should be a money-maker.

New York Mets (31-39, -4.1 units)
When we last checked in on the Metropolitans, they were a good call on the road. Now they run off the embankment, losing their last seven away games and has fallen to 15-19 (-0.2 units).

New York is back on the road after a .500 homestand which did little to restore their confidence and their offense has only scored more than four runs twice in their 13 outings.

Manager Terry Collins is coming under increasing pressure, but it’s Curtis Granderson batting .227, not Collins. And while pickup Bobby Abreu has been nothing short of miraculous in hitting .300 with a on-base percentage in the .380’s, does a team in playoff contention have a 40-year old cleanup hitter whose not had more than 200 at bats since 2011?

Baseball handicappers understand the Mets have had their share of bad luck in compiling an 8-17 record in one run games, but they also have 12 blown saves, which is tied for second-most in the National League.

When reviewing the betting odds, the Mets have to be a short list of play against teams most nights. 


Philadelphia Phillies (30-38, -7.4)
The Philadelphia front office has come to the realization with what most baseball experts and sportsbooks have known for a couple years, the Phillies have to rebuild.

Philly is 13th in run differential in the NL and given its 24th ranked offense and posting the exact same standing in run prevention, it is simple to understand their predicament.

There have already inquires into the availability of Jimmy Rollins, Chase Utley, Cliff Lee and A. J. Burnett by contending teams looking to add pieces. Ryan Howard would be on the list also, but there is no call for a 35-year old first baseman that does not field well any longer and has really become platoon-ish with his .206 batting average versus lefties, making 25M.

The replacement players who were supposed to fill the spots from a Phils team that averaged 97 wins from 2009-11 have proven to be pedestrian and not the high-caliber they had believed.

This is an organization that should have seen the writing on the wall when they won 73 times a season ago and began making trades for younger players, instead of wasting a whole season and having those once value commodities be one year older with even less value.

Backing the Phillies with sports picks is as foolhardy as the front office itself.


San Diego Padres (29-41, -14)
San Diego rank at or near the bottom of the major leagues in nearly every major offensive category: runs (last), batting average (last), on-base percentage (last), slugging percentage (last) and home runs (24th). Their numbers are reminiscent of the dead-ball era (1900-18), averaging a mere 2.9 runs a contest.

How futile has the Padres offense been, they have scored one run or less a Major League-high 23 times this season, and are averaging 1.6 runs in their 41 losses.

You do not have to be a student of the game and regularly check the MLB odds to understand; three runs a game places the San Diego pitching staff under incredible pressure. Unfortunately for the Pads, their no answers at the big league level and none in the minors to change what is occurring.

What baseball bettors can do is take full advantage of San Diego’s scoring scarcity and profit accordingly.

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