MLB Picks: Orioles vs. Rangers Odds & Analysis

Joe Freda

Sunday, July 21, 2013 1:58 PM GMT

Sunday, Jul. 21, 2013 1:58 PM GMT

Sunday’s MLB betting has Ron Washington’s club hoping to avoid a home sweep, with Rangers lefty Martin Perez (3-2, 3.00 ERA) opposing Orioles righty Chris Tillman (11-3, 3.95 ERA). 

The Texas Rangers have dropped two straight to the Baltimore Orioles, losing by a combined margin of 10-5. Let's look at the MLB odds and what this match-up has in store.

O’s, Jones jump out early

Baltimore notched seven runs in the first three innings of Saturday’s 7-4 victory, cashing as a minus 104 road choice. Orioles outfielder Adam Jones cracked his 20th homer, while mates Chris Davis and Brian Roberts logged two RBIs each. 

Texas’ David Murphy hit 3-for-4, driving in two of his club’s late runs. Rangers leadoff man Ian Kinsler was held to a 0-for-4 night, while slugger Nelson Cruz hit 1-for-5 in his return to action from Friday’s scratch.

Perez shelled in Detroit

Perez suffered his first loss in five starts with last Sunday’s 5-0 defeat for Texas to the Detroit Tigers. The Venezuela native surrendered three homers over 5 2/3 innings, falling as a 155 road dog.

Rangers mates Mitch Moreland and Geovany Sato each poked one of their club’s sole two hits. Texas’ Leonys Martin struck out twice in a 0-for-3 night, while third baseman Jurickson Profar logged the game’s only error.

Tillman cashes at home

Tillman has been idle since July 12, collecting as 136 home ‘chalk’ in Baltimore’s 8-5 victory over the Toronto Blue Jays. The 25-year-old allowed three runs on eight hits, including a pair of homers over six frames of action.

Baltimore prevailed despite being edged in hits, 14-9, with Jones and Davis uniting to bat 5-for-8. The duo drilled two of their side’s three long balls, while the contest’s combined 13 runs soared OVER the ‘total’ of nine.

Back the Rangers on Sunday

Bet365 opened Perez as a 130 home favorite, while first posting the ‘total’ at 9 ½ (OVER minus 115). Baltimore’s Chris Davis is listed as “questionable” due to an ankle injury from Saturday’s game.

I am adding Perez and Texas to my card of sports picks for Sunday’s action, looking for the Rangers to end this series with some spark.

Perez faced the Orioles earlier this month, holding Davis and Co. to two earned runs en route to a 8-4 victory for Texas as a 110 road dog. The 22-year-old has been stingy in his pair of home starts, allowing no earned runs over the span’s 12 innings.

Tillman has had some loose outings on the road, giving up a 1.36 WHIP and .330 OBP over eight starts. The two most recent affairs saw the California native surrender eight runs over a combined 10 1/3 innings, with 17 hits and five walks allowed.

Texas’ lineup has had its share of success against Tillman’s arm, while hitting a solid .267 against righties at home. The trio of Nelson Cruz, Ian Kinsler and Geovany Soto each have united to hit one homer each in their combined 15 at bat’s.

[gameodds]3/239641/?r1=43-192-349/us&r-1=43-192/us[/gameodds]

The Rangers have cashed at 17-5 in their latest 22 spots that followed losing the first two games of a series. Look for Cruz and Co. to hang some early runs here, collecting at a low premium.

MLB Picks: Texas Rangers -130 at Bet365

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