MLB Picks: Orioles & Top Starter Miguel Gonzalez Expected to Battle & Upset Yankees in New York

Charles Stark

Friday, May 8, 2015 12:16 PM GMT

In today’s MLB match up I am backing the Baltimore Orioles for the minor upset against the New York Yankees.  Both teams are pretty equal offensively and the Orioles have a solid starter in Miguel Gonzalez.

Pitching Break Down and the Line
Right now MLB odds makers have come with the Orioles around +110. That is an interesting line for me because what we are getting is the better pitcher in my opinion, backed by one of the best offenses in the major leagues.  Still, it always makes sense to make the Yankees favorites at home, but with them winning yesterday I think they will have it a little tougher today against an Oriole team trying to bounce back from that loss. Adam Warren for the Yankees comes in with a 4.78 ERA and 1.33 WHIP, not great but has pitched decently recently allowing only five runs in his last 11 innings against the Red Sox and Rays. Career numbers are not bad with an overall 3.66 ERA and 1.31 WHIP.  In three of his five starts this year though he has allowed four earned runs and in those averaging just five innings. 

Miguel Gonzalez comes in with a 2.59 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP. Batters are only hitting .209 against him and he already had a solid outing against the Yankees allowing one earned run in seven innings. Career wise he has a solid 3.39 ERA and 1.24 WHIP.

You can find the Orioles vs. Yankees full coverage here!

Baltimore is the Better Offense
In every major offensive category Baltimore leads the Yankees. They are especially better in batting average ranked 3rd at .273 compared to New York ranked 18th at .243. 

Baltimore struggled at the plate yesterday but I don’t anticipate that to repeat today.They were only 1-6 with runners in scoring position, but today with Warren on the mound they should have a lot of quality at bats. Great value on them as the underdog today for your MLB picks.

MLB Pick: Baltimore Orioles

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