MLB Picks - Offensive Affair Predictions For Orioles vs. Yankees

Baltimore Orioles

Charles Stark

Friday, September 30, 2016 7:59 PM GMT

Friday, Sep. 30, 2016 7:59 PM GMT

As Baltimore continues to battle for the wildcard spot in the American League, the Yankees are trying to play spoiler with a long outside shot at making the playoffs.  We are going to look at the total on this matchup because it seems to me this could be a rough day for the pitchers.

 

Baltimore Orioles

Yovani Gallardo takes the mound for Baltimore and comes in with a 5.63 ERA and 1.62 whip and allowed seven earned runs his last time in Yankee stadium.  The most troubling aspect of that outing was that the damage was done under two innings and despite the fact that every game is a must-win for Baltimore I have a hard time believing he can hold New York to a reasonable number.  He has at times been decent recently over his past ten starts like giving up just one earned run to the Rays and A's in five and six innings respectively.  However, outside of those starts versus those two pretty poor hitting teams he has consistently gotten knocked around and on the road holds a 6.71 ERA with batters hitting .295 against him this season.  In his one other start against New York in Yankee stadium back in mid-July he didn't fare that well allowing four earned runs in seven innings of work.

 

New York Yankees

Michael Pineda takes the mound for the Yankees with a 4.68 ERA and 1.33 whip but with just a 1.80 ERA versus the Orioles this season.  Over two starts Pineda has been good versus Baltimore allowing just two earned runs in ten innings of work.  The one time he faced them in New York he shut them out in five innings allowing just five hits but on closer look Baltimore squandered some opportunities leaving five guys on base in that short stint.  This will be their third look at Pineda and they are hitting .250 against him garnering ten hits in ten innings.  Look for the Orioles to have the best success they have had against him so far this season and put up enough to help get us over what I think is a pretty low total in proportion to the numbers in this crucial matchup.

 

Baltimore Orioles vs N.Y. Yankees  

Oddsmakers have come out with the total for this game at 9 across the board with a bit of higher juice on the over at most places. As usual, you should shop for the best lines at the best sportsbooks which you can find at SBR.  For my MLB pick, I am going to take over the total like at Heritage Sports.  This game has all the makings of an offensive affair.

Free MLB Pick: Over 8.5 (+100)
Best Line Offered:at Heritage
MLB record:47-43-3

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