MLB Picks Of The Day: Taking Advantage Of Saturday's Weak Pitching Slate

Joe Catalano

Saturday, July 30, 2016 5:06 PM UTC

Saturday, Jul. 30, 2016 5:06 PM UTC

While the pitching is weak for Saturday's MLB slate of games, the mismatches are here. This is a great opportunity make a profit. Here are your MLB Picks of the Day.

New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays

"Plugging Up the Hole"
This is a great opportunity at a nice price for the New York Yankees (52-50) to plug up the hole, so to speak, and stop their 2 game losing streak before it get's out of hand. It took New York a long time to get in contention and with one losing streak and August approaching, they may find themselves out of the race if they don't win games such as this against a Tampa Bay Rays (40-61) that is having an awful season and starting a very weak pitcher in Drew Smyly (2-11, 5.42 ERA)

Poor Play All Around
Smyly has been simply awful along with getting no run support. In his last 6 starts, the Rays have scored 4 or less runs 5 times and 5 runs the other outing. With support such as this, Smyly isn't going to win a lot of games, but he hasn't helped his own cause also.

In his last 6 starts, Smyly has managed just 1 quality start and that was his last outing; a 6 inning effort in which he allowed 1 run on 6 hits in a no-decision against the Oakland A's. Take it a step further and Drew Smyly has just 2 quality outings in his last 10 starts. That's pretty much as bad as it get's and put's a ton of pressure on guys such as Evan Longoria in the Tampa Bay offense and they simply haven't been able to support him. The question is "Can Drew Smyly build upon one solid start and facing a weak Yankees offense?" This is the deciding factor in this less than stellar matchup.

Missed Opportunity
New York had been dominating the Jose Altuve and the Houston Astros and reached a season high 4 games above .500. Currently, in their last 2 games, they've managed just 2 runs, being outscored 9-2 by the opposition. This is a team that they must beat if they think that they're playoff material. New York must get production from the leader, 39-year-old Carlos Beltran.

Carlos Beltran
He has been mentioned in trade talks because this is as hot as he's going to get and the Yankees could get the maximum in return for him. Beltran, who usually isn't vocal, say's that he want's to stay in New York. Why wouldn't he? He's the main source of offense, leading the team with a .305 BA along with 21 HR and 62 RBI. The power hasn't been there, but in the month of July, Beltran has hit 2 HR and 9 RBI, with a .330 BA. The Yankees desperately need Beltran to keep staying consistent as this is also a weak offense. Look for New York and starter, Nathan Eovaldi (9-6, 4.80 ERA) to quickly end their winning streak against a bottom-feeder in the Rays at the Trop. The Yanks on the ML is my MLB Pick for this game

Free MLB Pick: New York Yankees +120 
Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker 2 UNIT PLAY

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Boston Red Sox at Los Angeles Angels

Back To Their Winning Ways
The best cure for a Boston Red Sox (56-45) that had fallen to 3rd place in the AL East Division and on a losing streak was facing Tim Lincecum as the Red Sox quickly took advantage of that situation and picked up a much needed 6-2 victory against the Halos last night. Tonight is a bit of a different story as the Angels send out Hector Santiago (9-4, 4.28 ERA) and he will be facing Drew Pomeranz (8-8, 2.84 ERA). Although Pomeranz is on a team that will finally give him run support, could the Angels be good value at home and with a respectable pitcher in Santiago taking the mound?

Xander Bogaerts
This is a real up and coming player for the Red Sox as he's currently on an 11 game hitting streak, leads the Red Sox in hitting, and is just 23 years old. For the season, Bogaerts is hitting .331 with 13 HR and 66 RBI. He's definitely exceeded expectations and will only get better. Bogaerts is coming off of a 2 for 5 performance against the Angels in which he had homered and knocked in 3 runs. He's 13 for his last 31 at-bats (.419 BA) with 2 HR and 5 RBI. This is definitely a player to keep an eye on in this game.

Good Matchup for "Fat Albert"
Albert Pujols came to the Angels and has provided power, but his batting average has never even come close to his numbers in St. Louis. That said, this is a fantastic matchup for Pujols as he's hitting .421 against Boston with 1 HR and  6 RBI. There are certain stats that carry more weight in my book and RBI's is one of them. For the season, Pujols has 78 ribbies and is on pace to have a 30 HR, 123 RBI season, which is still good for a 36-year-old future hall of famer. Pujols is only 1 for 12 off of Pomeranz, but that's a small sampling and he's could definitely be a factor in this game.

I like the under in this game's MLB Odds as I think the quality of pitching is high and Boston is due to be held in check. 8 1/2 runs is a decent amount of runs to obtain, especially how hot and cold that the Angels offense can be.

Free MLB Pick: Under 8 1/2 -117 
Best Line Offered: at Heritage

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