MLB Picks: NY Mets vs. LA Dodgers Series Coverage

Darin Zank

Monday, August 12, 2013 12:01 PM GMT

LA continued its winning ways with a 4-2 victory Monday night, scoring three times in the bottom of the sixth to erase a 2-0 deficit, and getting a quality start from Ricky Nolasco.
14th AUG
Wednesday's Game Three

By: Ron Patrick

 

Check out today's Daily Baseball Betting Odds & Lines Report for that early edge in today's games!

LA took Game 2 of this series Tuesday night 4-2, as Hyun-Jin Ryu out-pitched Matt Harvey. 

The Dodgers, in extending their current winning streak to seven games, won Tuesday as -125 favorites on the MLB betting odds, and the game PUSHED its total of six.

In a personnel update, LA might get some good news tonight with the potential return to the lineup of Hanley Ramirez, who's missed recent action because of a sore shoulder.

So the Dodgers will shoot for the sweep when the teams meet for Game 3 of this series, Wednesday night at 10:10 p.m. ET. Should you back them in your sports picks?

Wednesday's Betting Odds

As of Wednesday morning, most baseball betting shops were listing Los Angeles and Chris Capuano at around -180 over New York and Dillon Gee, with a total of seven.

Wednesday's Pitching Match-Up

Capuano (4-6, 4.50) is 6-for-15 on quality starts this year, and has been running a bit hot-and-cold as of late. In his first start after the All-Star break, he gave up five runs in less than five innings versus Toronto. In his next two starts he threw 13 scoreless innings against the Reds and Cubs, but he allowed five ER and 10 hits in 4 1/3 innings his last time out, versus Tampa Bay.

During the season, Cappy has given up 93 hits in 80 innings, walked 18 and struck out 62.

LA lost eight of Capuano's first 12 starts this year, but has won his last five in a row. This will be Capuano's first start this season vs. the Mets; last year, in two starts vs. his former team, Cappy gave up six ER and 13 hits in 14 innings; the Dodgers split those two games.

After a rough start to this season Gee (8-8, 3.82) has been much better as of late. He's 11-for-23 on quality starts this year, and four for his last five. Last time out he held Colorado to one run through 7 2/3 innings, and over his last five outings he's allowed just six ER through 35 1/3 innings.

Back at the end of May, Gee's ERA sat at 5.68. Since then, he's chopped almost two full runs off that number. Gee has given up 146 hits in 139 innings, walked 37 and struck out 101 for the season.

The Mets are 12-11 in Gee's starts this year and this will be his's first start this year against LA. Last year, in his one start versus the Dodgers, he gave up four runs – two earned – in six innings of an 8-3 New York defeat in July.

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Our Take on Wednesday's Game

LA is rolling, and we've taken advantage of that the last two nights. So it's hard to go against the Dodgers at the moment. But, in all honesty, we don't trust Capuano and Gee has been very good lately. Also, while New York is nine games under .500 on the season, it's also 22-17 vs. left-handed starting pitching. So in looking for value, we'll go with the Mets as part of Wednesday's free MLB picks.

MLB Pick: Take New York at the +175 offered at Bet365

 

13th AUG
Tuesday's Game Two

By: Ron Patrick

 

Not only did the Dodgers win Monday as -190 favorites on the MLB odds board, but thanks to Nick Punto's solo homer in the bottom of the seventh they covered on the run line at a price of +110.

So LA will go looking for its 39th win in its last 47 games when the teams meet for Game 2 of this series Tuesday night (10:10 pm ET). 

Tuesday's Betting Line 

As of Tuesday AM most baseball betting outlets were listing LA and Hyun-Jin Ryu at around -125 over New York and Matt Harvey, with a total of six.

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Tuesday's Pitching Match-Up 

Hyun-Jin Ryu (11-3, 2.99) is 13-for-22 on quality starts this year, 2-for-4 since the All-Star break. Last time out he held St. Louis to one unearned run through seven innings, and since the break he's allowed seven ER through 24 2/3 innings. 

On the season the Korean lefty has given up 134 hits in 141 1/3 innings, walked 42 and struck out 118. 

Los Angeles is 16-6 in Ryu's starts this year, and has won his last eight outings. 

In his one career start vs. New York Ryu gave up one run and three hits in seven innings of a 3-2 Dodgers victory back in April. 

Harvey (9-3, 2.09) is 17-for-23 on quality starts this season, and four for his last five. Last time out he was great, throwing a complete-game, four-hit shutout against Colorado, and over his last five starts he's allowed six ER in 36 2/3 innings.

Harvey has pitched at least seven innings 16 times this year, and held opponents to three ER or fewer 20 times. You'd think with numbers like that he'd have more than nine wins to his credit. 

On the season Harvey has allowed 108 hits in 159 2/3 innings, walked just 29 and struck out 178. 

New York, a team that's eight games under .500 on the year, is 13-10 in Harvey's starts. 

In his one start earlier this season against the Dodgers Harvey gave up three ER and four hits in six innings of a 7-3 Mets victory back on April 24.

Check out our Tuesday Morning MLB Odds & Betting Lines Report.

Our Take on Tuesday's Game 

This should be a dandy: Harvey is a horse, and Ryu ain't too bad himself. But LA is seriously hot, and with Harvey pitching the price stays reasonable. We'll go with the red-hot Dodgers for our free MLB pick for Tuesday. 

MLB Pick: Take LA at the -124 offered at 5Dimes.

 

12th AUG
Monday Series Opener

By: Ron Patrick

 

The LA Dodgers struggled through the first two and a half months of this season, and certainly did not look like they were going to make the playoffs.

But since then LA has been the best team in baseball, winning 35 of its last 43 games.What's to keep the Dodgers from carrying on? The New York Mets.

Mets-Dodgers Monday Betting Lines

As of Monday morning most baseball betting outlets were listing LA and Ricky Nolasco at around -195 over New York and Jenrry Mejia, with a total of seven.

Also, The Greek was chalking the Dodgers at -200 to win this series, with the Mets getting +170.

Mets-Dodgers Series Set-Up

The Dodgers just swept three games at home from Tampa, winning Sunday 8-2, and have won five in a row and nine of their last 10.

So LA, at 67-50, leads the NL West by 7.5 games over Arizona. The Dodgers have also climbed to within 4.5 games of Atlanta in the battle for the best record in the National League.

Meanwhile, New York just took two of three games in Arizona over the weekend, taking Sunday's rubber match 9-5, and has won five of its last six games.

The Mets, at 54-61, are 10 games behind Cincinnati in the race for the second National League wild-card spot.

In the only previous meeting this season between these teams the Dodgers took two of three games at Citi Field back in April.

Monday's Pitching Match-Up

Nolasco (8-9, 3.65) will be making his seventh start for LA since coming over in the trade with Miami. On the season Nolasco is 10-for-24 on quality starts, but 0 for his last five because he hasn't pitched six full innings in any of his last five starts. Last time out he gave up three unearned runs in five innings vs. St. Louis, and in his six starts as a Dodger he's allowed 11 ER in 33 innings.

For the season Nolasco has permitted 145 hits in 145 1/3 innings, walked 36 and struck out 117.

Miami went 6-12 in Nolasco's starts this year, but LA is 5-1 in games Nolasco has started.

In his one start this season vs. the Mets Nolasco gave up three ER and six hits in 5 1/3 innings in a 7-3 Marlins loss back on April 6.

Mejia (1-1, 1.96), who's pitching with bone chips in his elbow, is 1-for-3 on quality starts since joining the Big Club two and a half weeks ago. In his season debut he threw seven scoreless innings vs. Washington; in his second start he gave up three runs in six innings vs. Miami; and last time out he allowed one earned run in 5 1/3 innings vs. Colorado.

So, on the season Mejia has allowed four ER and 17 hits in 18 1/3 innings, walked just three and struck out 18.

New York has won two of his three starts.

This will be Mejia's first-ever start against Los Angeles.

In the battle of the bullpens for this series the Dodgers rank 15th in ERA at 3.57 and have converted 34 of 50 save opportunities, while the Mets ranks 16th with a 3.66 ERA and are 27 for 41 on save chances.

Mets-Dodgers Stickwork

New York ranks 22nd in the Majors in team OBP at .308, 15th in scoring at 4.1 runs per game and 23rd in homers with 101.

LA ranks fourth in OBP at .332, 16th in scoring at 4.1 RPG and 26th in homers with 94.

Mets-Dodgers Betting Trends

New York is seven games under .500 overall but 29-29 on the road.

LA is 34-25 at home.  

The OVER/UNDERS are 30-27 in games played at Dodger Stadium this season.

The Mets are 32-45 vs. right-handed starters this year.

The Dodgers are 45-32 vs. righties this season.

Mets-Dodgers Injury Update

New York is playing without 3B David Wright, who's on the DL with a bad hamstring.

LA is still playing without OF Matt Kemp, who's on the DL with an ankle injury, and SS Hanley Ramirez has missed recent action with a sore shoulder and is questionable for this series.

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Our Take on Monday's Game

The Dodgers are on a serious roll, even with Kemp on the sidelines. And Nolasco won't have to deal with Wright, who has ripped him throughout their careers. So, we like LA for Monday night. But the price is a bit steep, so we'll take a chance and go with a run-line play on the Dodgers for our free MLB pick for Monday.

MLB Pick: Take the Dodgers at the +115 on the run line at Bet365.