MLB Picks: Nationals vs. Padres to go 'Under' 6.5

Steven Suarez

Saturday, June 7, 2014 3:08 PM UTC

Saturday, Jun. 7, 2014 3:08 PM UTC

The Nationals are making a legitimate push for the top spot in the NL East and could move into a tie with the Braves if they take care of business in San Diego tonight. What kind of MLB odds have been released to the public for this matchup?

Odds Overview
Despite a 15-18 home record in 2014, the Padres are -140 favorites for tonight. You can find the Nationals at roughly +125 to +130.

The O/U is one of the lowest on the board at 6.5 runs. 


Washington Nationals (Treinen)
It's a fun time to be a Nationals fan right now.

Having won four straight and six of their last seven, Washington has pulled to within one game of Atlanta in the division standings. The Nationals took two of three from Texas and then swept Philadelphia at home, and were able to keep it going in the series opener against San Diego last night.

This lengthy road trip is going to be a true test for Washington. They'll head to San Francisco for a four-game set after this stop in San Diego and will then take on St. Louis next weekend.

Any kind of built-up momentum will therefore be more than welcome for the Nationals, who would love a quality start from Blake Treinen this evening. Treinen has made only six appearances (two starts) in 2014 but has only surrendered three earned runs in 19 and 1/3 innings total innings, which translates into an earned run average of 1.40.

In terms of hitting, Washington has done well recently, batting .286 as a team. Anthony Rendon (.417 with 4 HR and 8 RBI), Denard Span (.346) and Danny Espinosa (.333) have been the standouts.

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San Diego Padres (Cashner)
The Padres, after losing last night, have now gone 4-6 over their past 10 games. They're now a whopping 13 games behind San Francisco in the NL West with a 27-34 overall record.

If it wasn't for their pitching, the Padres would be in an even worse place. They've been atrocious at putting runs on the board and are ranked dead last in the MLB in the four major offensive categories.

Andrew Cashner has found that out the hard away. Despite a squeaky clean 2.35 ERA and 1.20 WHIP, Cashner is 2-5 on the season. Tough luck.

It's been a while since we've seen Cashner take the mound, as he's been out for almost three weeks due to elbow trouble. Regardless of the fact he's likely to be on a pitch limit for tonight, San Diego will be thrilled to have their stud righty back in the mix.

Cashner has been outstanding at home in the early stages of 2014, going 2-2 with a 1.67 ERA through five starts. He's allowed only six earned runs over 32 and 1/3 innings while serving up just one long ball in the process. Look for more of the same against the Nationals tonight.


MLB Pick
Looking at both sides, it's tough to discern where the best MLB betting value is.

You'd have to say the Padres hold the edge in the pitching matchup, as we have a much bigger sample size out of Cashner and he's proven his worth countless times before, especially when pitching at home. Treinen looks promising, but we need to see more out of him.

However, Washington holds the clear edge offensively, which basically makes it a wash when making our picks.

As such, we think it's in our best interest to take the UNDER, despite the extremely low number on the board. We're foreseeing a pitchers duel from start to finish.

MLB Pick: UNDER 6.5

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