MLB Picks: Nationals vs. Mets Odds & Prediction

Jeff Grant

Saturday, June 29, 2013 2:30 PM UTC

Saturday, Jun. 29, 2013 2:30 PM UTC

The New York Mets and Washington Nationals will clash tonight on the diamond at Citi Field to begin a three game set.

The Washington Nationals went 4-3 in this past week’s homestand, while the UNDER cashed at 4-2-1. Davey Johnson’s club now heads north for Friday’s opener with the New York Mets, who send right-hander Matt Harvey (7-1, 2.05 ERA) to the hill as ‘chalk’ against Nationals lefty Ross Detwiler (2-6, 4.18 ERA).

Mets, Nats come off tight duels

Thursday’s MLB betting saw New York and Washington each play one-run affairs, logging opposite results. 

New York completed an 11-game road trip with a 3-2 victory against the Colorado Rockies, collecting at plus 154 to finish the journey at a 7-4 mark. Washington logged a 3-2 defeat to the Arizona Diamondbacks in 11 frames, allowing a trio of unanswered runs to fall short as 139 home ‘chalk.’

The Mets and Nationals have had five matchups, with New York and the OVER going 3-2. Harvey started one of the duels for his club, two months ago at home, allowing four hits over seven frames in a 7-1 win for the Mets.

Harvey goes six in Philly 

Harvey notched a second straight victory in Sunday’s 8-0 triumph for New York as a 131 road favorite against the Philadelphia Phillies. The 24-year-old held the Phillies scoreless over six frames, giving up two hits and one walk. 

Mets third baseman David Wright logged a 4-for-5 day, cracking a homer, triple and two doubles. New York’s Eric Young and Marlon Byrd united to hit 5-for-9 from the leadoff and cleanup spots, driving in three runs. 

Detwiler shelled at home 

Detwiler was lit up for seven runs in 3 2/3 innings on the same afternoon, with Washington dropping a 7-6 affair to the Colorado Rockies. The St. Louis native surrendered two homers as part of nine hits allowed, failing to cash as a 129 home favorite.

Nationals outfielders Jayson Werth and Steve Lombardozzi hit a combined 5-for-7, while mate Jhonatan Solano capped off his side’s scoring with a late two-run double. Washington’s Ian Desmond and Chris Marrero left nine men on base, held to a 2-for-9 day between them.


Back the OVER in New York 

Bet365 opened Harvey as a 162 home favorite, while first setting the ‘total’ at 6 ½ (OVER minus 120). The weather forecast at Citi Field calls for a 75 degree night, with a 45 percent chance of thunderstorms.

I am adding the OVER in this contest to Friday’s sports picks, looking for just enough octane to sail north of the ‘total.’

Detwiler has allowed a sizable 1.34 WHIP and .340 OBP in his six road starts, while the OVER has cashed at 4-1 in the sixth-year hurler’s last five outings against the Mets. New York’s David Wright has poked three doubles and a homer in a 6-for-15 career mark against the lefty, while Eric Young has hit 12-for-26 over his last six games. 

Harvey has tossed some tight ball at home, but faces a few bats in the Nationals’ lineup that have had some success against his arm. Washington’s Ryan Zimmerman has drilled a long ball in just one of two at-bat’s facing Harvey, while mate Ian Desmond is 2-for-4 with a pair of walks. 

The OVER is 5-1 in Washington’s last six games that followed a loss, while going 3-1-1 in New York’s last five matchups as a favorite. Look for the OVER to collect again here, adding to the 2-1 mark for the wager from April’s set between these foes at Citi Field.

MLB Pick: OVER 6 ½ at Bet365

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