MLB Picks: Mets vs. Yankees Betting Preview for 3-Game Series

Willie Bee

Friday, April 24, 2015 11:34 AM GMT

The Mets bounced right back from Friday's loss to win Game 2 from the Yankees on Saturday, and the New York rivals will settle their MLB odds series Sunday night on ESPN.

26th APR
Sunday's Series Closer

By: Willie Bee

 

Charles Dickens once penned, "It was the best of times, it was the worst of times," and while he wasn't talking about Matt Harvey and CC Sabathia, he might as well have been.

Harvey pitched into the ninth inning Saturday to help the New York Mets to an 8-2 triumph over Sabathia and the New York Yankees, evening the weekend interleague series in Gotham. Backed by three home runs, Harvey moved to 4-0 in as many starts while Sabathia surrendered seven of the Mets' eight runs to drop to 0-4 on the 2015 MLB betting schedule that finishes off its third week today.

Slated to wrap up Week No. 3 is ESPN's 7 PM (ET) broadcast of the finale between the two New York clubs. Jonathon Niese is up next for the Mets while Nathan Eovaldi climbs the hill for the Yanks. Current baseball odds find the Yankees -130 home chalk, 8 the magic number for scoreboard bettors and priced to the low side of the MLB odds total.

 

Will Niese's Ejection In Game 1 Affect His Performance Tonight?
Niese is looking for his 3rd-straight win, and the lefty has put up some pretty good numbers vs. the Yankees. Four career starts in this rivalry have yielded a 2.05 ERA for the Ohio native, the Mets splitting those affairs 2-2. He tossed seven solid frames in his only appearance on this mound, but Niese's defense and bullpen let him down in a 5-4 Yankees victory.

The Ohio native was tossed in Friday's series opener by home plate umpire Doug Eddings for arguing balls and strikes from the bench, so it will be interesting to see if Niese gets squeezed on strike calls early in this one.

Eovaldi is coming off his first dubya of the season with seven, 1-run innings last Tuesday in Detroit. He has seen the Mets seven times previously, five of those assignments as a member of the Marlins. Three of the starts turned into winning decisions for his clubs, Eovaldi tossing a combined 39 innings and allowing 20 earned runs (4.62 ERA).

 

Umpire Notes, Mother Nature & A Free Pick
Jim Wolf should finish off the series behind the dish for the umpire crew. Now in his 17th MLB season, Wolf has begun 2015 with three 'over' winners in his four plate assignments, and four of his last five appearances under the mask at Yankee Stadium have also topped the totals.

Clouds are going to dominate the sky this evening in the Bronx, but there is no rain in the forecast. Eovaldi's first pitch should come with the thermometer in the upper-50s, a light NW breeze blowing out to right field. I'm liking the two lineups once more, and will polish off this set with another play on the 'over' for my free MLB pick.

MLB Pick: Mets-Yankees Over 8 (+104) at Pinnacle

25th APR
Saturday's Game 2

By: Willie Bee

 

Mark Teixeira did his best to turn the Subway Series opener into a high-scoring affair and help us cash an 'over' play. Trouble is, few others contributed much on offense as the New York Yankees downed the New York Mets 6-1 on Friday.

The setback was the first in 11 games for the Mets, who initially went out as MLB odds chalk in the -110 to -120 range for Game 2. That moneyline swung around completely in overnight trading, pinstripe backers now paying -115 to -120 for the privilege of backing the Yankees.

FOX Sports will carry the 4 PM (ET) matchup that features a 7 run total with Matt Harvey on the hill for the Mets opposite Yankees lefty CC Sabathia.

 

Opposite W-L Records Collide In Bronx
Harvey hasn't pitched quite as well as his 3-0 record might suggest, and Sabathia hasn't pitched as poorly as his 0-3 mark would lead you to believe. While their records are exact opposites, the two hurlers both have outstanding K:BB ratios, setting up a super mound duel between a veteran who was at the very top of his game not that long ago and a youngster who appears poised for greatness in the near future.

Spot on with six shutout frames in his season debut, Harvey has been knocked around a bit in his last two outings, allowing a combined seven runs over 12 frames. Mets hitters backed him with just enough offense in a couple of 1-run victories, however, as Harvey prepares for his second career assignment vs. the Yankees, and first in the Bronx.

Sabathia was solid Monday in Detroit, tossing eight innings of 2-run baseball.  Still, it wasn't good enough in a 2-1 New York loss, the 2nd-straight 1-run setback for Crooked Cap. Saturday will be the first time Sabathia as seen the Mets since 2012, and the Yanks are 3-1 (2.45 ERA) in his four career starts against them since coming to the Bronx in 2009.

 

Umpire Notes, Mother Nature & A Free Pick
It's the same umpire crew we saw working the Cards and Nats series earlier this week, young Adam Hamari still filling in for chief Bill Miller and Adrian Johnson next up in the rotation to work the plate. The Houston native called un 'under' in that series opener, his 2nd-straight to begin the 2015 MLB betting schedule, leaning the other way a bit last year at 16-11-1 O/U/P.

It's supposed to be a nice sunny afternoon in the Bronx, perhaps a bit on the cool side at 58º and a 10 mph breeze potentially providing a little help for balls headed to right. We pushed a free MLB pick on the 'over' with a 7-run total in Game 1, and believe the final in Game 2 will leap the same mark.

My pick: Mets-Yankees Over 7

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24th APR
Saturday's Game 1

By: Willie Bee

 

If the goal of the New York Mets was to be playing their best baseball heading into the weekend series against their crosstown rivals, mission accomplished. The Mets have won 11 consecutive games to sit atop the entire National League, and they'll have one of the game's best young hurlers on the mound Friday when they begin a 3-game set against the New York Yankees.

The only interleague clash on the weekend baseball betting schedule, the first of two meetings between the Big Apple's squads takes place in the Bronx with a 7:05 PM (ET) first pitch with the MLB Network's cameras watching. Joe Girardi sends Michael Pineda to the mound for the opener, Terry Collins trotting out last year's NL Rookie of the Year recipient, Jacob deGrom.

MLB odds officially went out a pick 'em, but the Yankees have since been bet up to a -125 to -130 favorite. A 7 run total is equally split high and low.

It's the 99th regular season collision between the two clubs, the Yanks owning a 56-42 mark in the previous 98. There was also a lone postseason matchup back in 2000, the Pinstripes taking that World Series four games to one. The Mets have done a decent job and the second coming of Yankee Stadium, winning seven of the 16 played on this field thanks to coming out on top in the last four contests played in the Bronx. The squads split last year's four games, each winning a pair as the visitors. Both matches at Yankee Stadium went 'over' the totals, the teams combining for 35 runs in that set.

Check out which teams have been a total surprise and which ones...not that much

Mets Hit Road After Perfect 10-0 Homestand
The Mets tied a franchise record with their 11th-straight win Thursday at home in a 6-3 decision vs. the Braves. Bartolo Colon got the dubya, his third in the streak, and the contest finished a perfect 10-0 homestand for the Queens 9 to build a 4½-game bulge in the NL East.

DeGrom allowed a 2-run homer in the first inning he pitched this season, losing that contest at Washington by a 2-1 count. The Florida native has since posted a little more than 18 consecutive scoreless innings, beating both the Phillies and Marlins in the process to bring a sub-1.00 ERA into Friday's fracas. Both of those matchups took place over in Queens where deGrom has been brilliant in his short MLB career, pitching to a 1.42 ERA over 12 assignments while the Mets went 7-5.

He made his MLB debut about 11 months ago against the Yankees, working seven strong frames and allowing just one run. The Mets scored none, however, to lose the contest 1-0.

 

Yanks Home For 6 After 10-Game Roadie
While the Mets have been in Gotham for 10-straight games, the Yankees have been on the road with stops in Baltimore, Tampa Bay and Detroit. It was a successful 7-3 journey, taking the last three in Motown to move into a 3-way tie with the Jays and Red Sox in the AL East.

Pineda certainly hasn't pitched as well as deGrom, a 5-flat ERA testament to that. Still, the end result has been three consecutive New York wins, each coming at the expense of an AL East foe. The big Dominican has a very respectable 20/2 strikeout-to-walk ratio in his first 18 innings, but opposing batters are hitting .306 against Pineda.

His abbreviated 214 season did include better numbers at home (1.59 ERA, 6 starts) than on the road (2.21 ERA, 7 starts), and Friday will be his first career appearance vs. the Mets.

Cloudy skies should begin to clear come game time, but it's going to be a chilly day in New York City with the thermometer in the upper-40s for the first pitch. That temperature is going to be compounded  by 15-20 mph NW winds (out to right), leaving the wind-chill in the upper-30s before the contest ends.

Both teams have been strong 'over' plays this season, and that's the way I'm going for my free MLB pick in the series opener.

My pick: Mets-Yankees Over 7
Season: 12-13-1 (-1.75)