MLB Picks: Mets vs. Braves Sat. & Sun. Picks

Joe Freda

Saturday, May 4, 2013 1:05 PM GMT

The New York Mets rallied in Friday’s opener with the Atlanta Braves, sending the battle into extra frames and coming away with a 7-5 victory as 174 road dogs.

Saturday night’s matchup continues the series with Braves right-hander Julio Teheran facing Mets southpaw Jon Niese, while Sunday’s finale has Atlanta’s Tim Hudson squaring off with New York’s Matt Harvey in a duel of righties.

Saturday:  Teheran (1-0, 5.08 ERA) vs Niese (2-2, 3.31 ERA)

Teheran logged a no-decision in Monday’s 3-2 win for Atlanta over the Washington Nationals, cashing as a 115 home dog. The Colombia native allowed both of Washington’s runs over 5 1/3 innings, while relievers Jordan Walden and Craig Kimbrel notched the staff’s win and save, respectively.

Niese picked up a second loss in three starts with Sunday’s 5-1 defeat for New York to the Philadelphia Phillies. The sixth-year hurler gave up one earned run on six hits, failing to collect as a 107 home dog in 6 2/3 frames of action.

Bookmaker.eu opened their MLB odds with Teheran as a 140 home favorite, with early wagers on Niese moving the MLB odds south to minus 135. The ‘total’ was first set at eight, dropping to 7 ½ after initial betting action on the UNDER.

I am adding a ticket on Teheran and the Braves as ‘chalk’ here, sensing Fredi Gonzalez’ squad will even up the set. Atlanta is 6-2 in its last eight games against southpaw starters, while coming out on top in all five of Teheran’s starts this year.

New York has tended to not stay hot, with a 1-4 mark in its last five games that came after a victory. The Mets are 0-4 in their last four road matchups against listed righties, while hitting just .233 against right arms overall this year.

Free Pick: Atlanta Braves  -135 at Bet 365

[gameodds]3/226027/43-999997-349/us[/gameodds]

Sunday:  Matt Harvey (4-0, 1.56 ERA) vs Tim Hudson (3-1, 3.86 ERA)

Hudson notched his first win in three outings with Tuesday’s 8-1 triumph for Atlanta against the Nationals, cashing as 114 home ‘chalk.’ The three-time All-Star held Washington’s lineup to three hits over seven innings, while logging six strikeouts.

Harvey recorded a second straight no-decision in Monday’s 4-3 defeat for New York to the Miami Marlins, failing to collect as a 142 road favorite. The 24-year-old gave up one run in 5 1/3 frames, allowing seven hits and two walks.

Atlanta went 1-1 in Hudson’s two starts against the Mets last year, with the veteran picking up a loss and a no-decision. New York logged a 4-0 defeat in Harvey’s sole outing against Atlanta, last August.

I am backing the UNDER in this duel, looking for a tight battle in this afternoon affair.

New York has seen the UNDER collect at 3-1-1 in its last five games against right-handed starters, while Hudson has had the UNDER cash at 10-1 in his most recent 11 home dates facing clubs with losing records. Both starters have had particularly respectable numbers in day games, each bringing a WHIP of 0.86 or less into this matchup.

Free Pick: UNDER for your MLB picks

Also, check out Joe Catalano's Baseball Picks of the Day, which includes a shot at this game!