MLB Picks: Mets Expected To Handle The Gusty Forecast vs. Royals

Willie Bee

Tuesday, April 5, 2016 5:25 PM UTC

Tuesday, Apr. 5, 2016 5:25 PM UTC

A couple of big righthanders square off in Kansas City on Tuesday when the New York Mets are slight MLB odds favorites in Game 2 of their series against the Royals.

If you believe the hype ESPN is spinning around the story, the New York Mets are close to filing a lawsuit against the Kansas City Royals for all the pain and suffering having to open the season team that beat them in the World Series last October. If that's so, the Mets will be able to tack on a little more Tuesday tonight when they have to sit through the ceremony handing out Series rings to Royals players.

Yeah, it's strange to see the previous year's combatants in the Fall Classic to open against each other the following season, but it's the first time we've seen it and probably not the last, though it should be a rare occurrence. It's probably best to just chalk it up to more contrived controversy for the talking heads at the worldwide leader in sports to mindlessly debate.

Speaking of chalk, the Mets are small road favorites for Tuesday's second game of their series in Kansas City. Roughly 24 hours in advance of their 4:15 PM (ET) first pitch at Kauffman Stadium, the MLB odds boards at Pinnacle had New York still on the opening -115 moneyline with 7½ for the total, and shaded heavy enough to the 'under' that we should probably expect this one to dip to 7 by game time.


Syndergaard Had Good Spring, Young Did Not
Kansas City picked right up where it left off Sunday evening with a win over the Mets, this time 4-3 with all three New York runs coming late in the proceedings. The Royals closed as slight home 'dogs and led from the first inning on thanks to some shoddy fielding on the part of New York outfielder Yoenis Cespedes.

The victory gave KC a 6-4 edge in regular season meetings vs. New York, and 3-1 record at home in addition to taking four of five in last season's World Series. It was the third consecutive regular season game at Kauffman between the two that finished with exactly seven runs scoring, Sunday's contest just falling short of a 7½ run total after all five games in the Series went past the baseball odds.

Syndergaard is coming off a good showing in his rookie 2015 campaign, fashioning a 3.24 ERA with 166 strikeouts in 150 innings. He added a 2-1 mark in three postseason starts with a 3.32 ERA, one of his dubyas the lone triumph New York tallied in the Series. The big righthander from Texas also enjoyed a bang-up spring with a 2.61 ERA in just short of 21 frames, striking out 20 and not allowing a homer.

The well-traveled Young, who pitched for the Mets in 2011-12, split his time between the bullpen and rotation for Kansas City a year ago making 18 starts and 16 relief appearances. The 6-11 Princeton grad did well, pitching to a 3.06 ERA during the regular season and 2.01 in October (3 starts, 2 relief outings). Young pitched better on the road (2.52 ERA) than at home (3.66), and was no mystery to hitters during spring training when he recorded a 7.11 ERA in 19 innings.


Gusty Conditions In KC Forecast
There is supposed to be plenty of sunshine in Kansas City where the afternoon high is expected to reach the mid-70s. The weatherman is also calling for a lot of wind during the afternoon, sustained in the 20-30 mph range and gusts as high as 40 out of the SSE out to LF corner).

Assuming the umpire rotation holds true, Sam Holbrook is next in line to work the plate. The Kentucky native was a boon to home tams a year ago with an 18-8 record, but fairly flat (13-12-1 O/U/P) on the totals, going 7-2 O/U with 7½ run marks.

Young is not someone we expect to go deep into games, and as good as KC's bullpen was last season, it's a bit thinner this time around. My MLB picks for Tuesday is on New York.

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Free MLB Pick:  Mets -119
Season: 0-0 (1 rainout).
Best Line Offered:  at BetOnline

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