MLB Picks: Medlen & Braves vs Lincecum & Giants

Joe Freda

Sunday, May 12, 2013 3:03 PM UTC

Sunday, May. 12, 2013 3:03 PM UTC

The San Francisco Giants cruised to a 10-1 victory in Saturday’s affair with the Atlanta Braves, cashing as 125 home favorites.

Sunday afternoon’s finale has a duel of right-handed hurlers slated, with San Francisco’s Tim Lincecum (2-2, 4.75 ERA) meeting Atlanta’s Kris Medlen (1-4, 3.25 ERA).

Will the Giants’ bats stay hot in this spot or can the Braves finish their stay with a win?

Lincecum Shelled in Defeat

Lincecum allowed five runs for a second straight start, with Tuesday’s 6-2 defeat for San Francisco to the Philadelphia Phillies. The four-time All-Star gave up nine hits over seven innings, failing to collect as 142 home ‘chalk.’

Giants mates Marco Scutaro and Angel Pagan drove in one run each from their lineup’s top two spots. Scutaro poked a double as part of a 2-for-4 night, while Pagan launched a sacrifice fly.

The battle’s combined eight runs leaped above the ‘total’ of seven, moving the OVER to 5-2 in Lincecum’s last seven outings. Giants reliever Jose Mijares allowed a late homer in his two frames on the hill, while Lincecum and first baseman Brandon Belt logged one error each.

Medlen falls short in Cincy

Medlen went his fifth straight start without a win on the same night’s card, logging a no-decision in Atlanta’s 5-4 loss to the Cincinnati Reds. The 27-year-old fell short of collecting as a 103 road dog, despite holding Cincinnati to two runs over seven frames. 

Braves closer Craig Kimbrel logged a blown save, giving up two homers in the ninth inning. The Alabama native picked up his first loss of the year, while Atlanta was edged out in hits to the Reds, 9-5.

The duel’s combined nine runs jumped beyond the MLB odds ‘total’ of 7 ½, lifting the OVER to 3-2 in Medlen’s last five outings. Braves catcher Brian McCann drove in two of his side’s runs, while shortstop Andrelton Simmons drilled a double from the leadoff spot.


Back the Giants at home

Bet365 opened Melden as a 111 road favorite, while first setting the ‘total’ at 7 ½. The weather forecast in San Francisco calls for a clear 70 degrees, with 14 mph winds blowing outward. 

I am adding a MLB picks ticket on Lincecum and the Giants, looking for their momentum to continue at plus MLB odds. San Francisco is 6-2 in its last eight matchups against right-handed starters, while going 6-1 in their most recent seven spots as a home dog.

Lincecum has struggled in recent affairs, but draws a Braves lineup here that has been held to a .237 BA facing right-handed pitching. San Francisco is 5-2 in “The Freak’s” last seven outings as an underdog, while coming out on top in his sole day game start this year. 

Atlanta is 1-3 in Medlen’s four road starts, while the hurler has giving up three homers in his last 12 1/3 IP of that span. The Braves are 1-5 in their last six duels as a road favorite, while going 4-9 in the team’s last 13 battles against right-handed starters. 

Look for Atlanta to extend its losing slide here, while the Giants cash at a price with some value. 

Free Pick:  San Francisco Giants +101 at BET 365

Also, don't forget to check in with Steven Suarez' Morning Betting Lines Report!
comment here