MLB Picks: Marlins' Tom Koehler vs. Phillies' Cole Hamels

Jeff Grant

Thursday, June 26, 2014 12:13 PM GMT

Cole Hamels is one of the hottest pitchers in baseball, which provides the Philadelphia Phillies a major edge over the Miami Marlins Thursday night. Let’s take a closer look at the MLB betting odds for this National League East matchup at Citizens Bank Park, with the first pitch scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET.

Fallen into a pattern
Miami has alternated wins and losses over its last four games, as it looks to build off a 3-2 victory over Philadelphia as +104 road underdogs Wednesday, while going UNDER the betting total for the fifth time in its last seven opportunities.

Marlins outfielder Giancarlo Stanton continues to be a force offensively, as he leads the NL and ranks among the top five in the Majors with 20 home runs and 58 RBIs.

MLB handicappers will find that the club is 9-5 as underdogs of +125 to +150 when playing away from South Beach, with the OVER going 8-6 in that situation.


All about Rollins
Philadelphia has scored just six runs in dropping four of its last five games, but it may be able to produce just enough offense to get back in the win column in this affair, considering shortstop Jimmy Rollins is hitting .447 in his last 10 home games in this rivalry.

The Phillies are a solid 24-13 versus the Marlins in their last 36 meetings, with the pitching staff leading the way with a 2.77 ERA over that span.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the franchise is 19-10 as home favorites of -150 to -175.


Koehler
Marlins starting pitcher Tom Koehler (5-6, 3.74 ERA) suffered a 4-0 home defeat to the New York Mets last time out, as he allowed two runs and four hits over seven solid innings.

The right-hander is 2-3 with a 4.70 ERA in seven road efforts—issuing 22 walks and striking out 35 batters in 38.1 combined frames.

In three lifetime appearances (one start) versus the Phillies, Koehler has produced a 0-1 record and 8.22 ERA.


Hamels
Phillies starting pitcher Cole Hamels (2-4, 2.76 ERA) will look to bounce back from a 4-1 setback on the road to the St. Louis Cardinals, as he gave up three runs (two earned) and five hits over 7.1 frames.

The left-hander is 1-2 with a 3.86 ERA in six home appearances, with opposing hitters batting .247 against him (.227 on the road).

In 30 career starts versus the Marlins, Hamels has compiled a 9-12 record and 3.18 ERA, including a 1.93 ERA in his last eight outings.


Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers back the Phillies as one of their MLB picks, as the Marlins are a forgettable 12-28 in their last 40 road games versus southpaw starters.
Pick:  Philadelphia Phillies

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":286699, "sportsbooksIds":[43], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]