MLB Picks: Marlin vs. Rockies Odds & Prediction

Joe Catalano

Sunday, May 5, 2013 2:34 PM GMT

In the only Interleague game on Sunday’s slate, the Tampa Bay Rays (13-16) take on the Colorado Rockies (18-12) in what should be a highly contested game.

Two top-flight pitchers take the mound in Alex Cobb, (3-2, 2.55) for the Rays and Jhoulys Chacin, (3-0, 1.46) for the Rockies.

First-pitch is set for 4:05 pm ET at Coors Field in the thin air of Colorado. Get out your oxygen masks out as this is a stadium where the air is thin and the ball carries more than any other.

5 Dimes Sportsbook lists the Rockies as a modest -110 MLB odds favorite and the total is 9.5 runs due to the Colorado air.

Will Chacin make a successful return and stay undefeated or will Alex Cobb pitch like he did against the Yankees and practically shut the Rockies out? Stay tuned.

Untimely Injury

Sometimes players that are “in the zone” that get injured, don’t come back as strong when they make their return; just ask Matt Kemp. In Colorado starter Jhoulys Chacin’s case, he started off the season on fire, but a lower back strain put him on the shelf for 15 days and he’ll be immediately put in the pressure cooker as he faces a formidable Rays offense and the solid pitching of Alex Cobb. Don’t expect Chacin to give more than 6 innings. He was barely going 6 innings before the injury. This will come down to Colorado’s bullpen.

Totally Not Expected

James Loney was always thought of as a decent ball player when he was with the Los Angeles Dodgers, but that’s as far as it went. Since joining the Rays, he’s been a superstar.

On the season, Loney is batting .380 with 1 HR and 14 RBI. He’s coming off of a 3 for 4 performance in a 9-3 loss to Colorado yesterday. Loney has seen lot’s of National League pitching and is a career .269 hitter with 7 RBI in 26 at-bats against Chacin. Throw those numbers out the window; this is a player with newly developed confidence.

Being that this is an inter-league game, most Rays hitters have no experience against Chacin, but a lineup with Evan Longoria, Matt Joyce, and Ben Zobrist, has a chance against any major league pitcher.

Will those Dodgers get their act together against the reigning champs?

Will Rosario Get the Start?

This is the issue with Sunday games. The manager hands in the lineup card at the last minute and some Sundays, the manager sits the starting catcher to give them a rest.

In Willin Rosario’s case, Colorado better think very hard before they decide because this is one of the best hitting catchers in baseball. Put him together with Troy Tulowitzki, Carlos Gonzalez, and  Michael Cuddyer and you have one of the best offensive lineups in baseball. Colorado doesn’t win like they should because of pitching.

On the season, Rosario is hitting .312 with 7 HR and 19 RBI.

Alex Cobb should also be worried about superstar, Troy Tulowitzki. Tulowitzki is coming off of a 3 for 3 performance yesterday and raised his batting average to .341 on the season.

The game hinges on whether Chacin can come back strong from injury because Colorado has the bats to support him.

[gameodds]3/226092/43-999997/us[/gameodds]

Outcome

You have to like Colorado at home. Along with appealing odds, Alex Cobb got knocked around unexpectedly in his last outing and it might have a lingering effect. Colorado is used to Coors Field, has a pitcher that’s been sensational this season, and a lineup that can go off at any time. Take the Rockies as your MLB pick.

Free Pick- Colorado -110 at Bet 365

Be sure to check out my picks of the day for today as well! Those that have been following me know that I have been red hot!